Antarctica Below -80C (-112F); Relentless Snowstorms Slam Australian Alps; Mont Blanc Hits -17.7C — Coldest July Low On Record?; + Why “100-Year Floods” Happen All The Time
Antarctica Below -80C (-112F); Relentless Snowstorms Slam Australian Alps; Mont Blanc Hits -17.7C — Coldest July Low On Record?; + Why “100-Year Floods” Happen All The Time
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4 Thoughts to “Antarctica Below -80C (-112F); Relentless Snowstorms Slam Australian Alps; Mont Blanc Hits -17.7C — Coldest July Low On Record?; + Why “100-Year Floods” Happen All The Time”
I am a Professional Engineer in central Texas and hydraulics and hydrology are one of my area of expertise. You are absolutely correct to speak of the probabilities of rainfall. . I have not yet studied the data extensively but I think in all likelihood the rainfall experienced in the Llano and Guadalupe basins will probably be more on the order of 1000 year rainfall-what is often considered the probable maximum flood. The weather setup included an area of low pressure trapped between high pressure with a continuous feed of moisture from a slow-moving hurricane/tropical storm that was off the coast of Mexico. This resulted in very intense rainfalls for days over much of the Guadalupe River Basin west of Kerrville, and a similar intense rainfall over the unconnected Llano and San Saba Rivers to the north. The tsunami-like wave flowing down the Guadalupe was due to the particular shape and attributes of its drainage basin along with the running slope and other characteristics of the river.
For someone to say this was due to global warming, etc. they would have to show that somehow the almost locked position of the low and highs and the hurricane pumping water into the atmosphere flowing north were a result of the global warming. However, these features are fairly common for Texas weather. The storm event that informed the 100 year event for many years was a hurricane turned low that moved inland and then sat over Thorndale dropping about 19” rain in a day in the early part of the 20th century. Weather happens and the entirety of many different interactions of our intricate atmosphere are still well beyond our ability to fully comprehend.
Chris Martz’s logic is spot on and can be applied to any type of “extreme” weather such as heat, very high wind speeds etc. Since each weather event only affects a small percentage of the total area of land on Earth (extreme weather over the oceans generally is reported in the media) and there’s a few different types of extremes that can be reported somewhere on Earth with a fairly high population will experience a 1 in a 100 year weather event on a regular basis, maybe one every month. Obviously the area affected will be different every month unless somewhere is really unlucky.
There is a way that CO2 might cause additional moisture in the atmosphere. The greening of the earth. Even the giant Red woods can draw water to their highest branches due to capillary action. That moisture will then evaporate off into the atmosphere. An entire planet with larger, more abundant and taller greenery could translate into more atmospheric moisture. If true that would lead to more snow during a grand minimum. More snow drops the temperature which creates even more snow.
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I am a Professional Engineer in central Texas and hydraulics and hydrology are one of my area of expertise. You are absolutely correct to speak of the probabilities of rainfall. . I have not yet studied the data extensively but I think in all likelihood the rainfall experienced in the Llano and Guadalupe basins will probably be more on the order of 1000 year rainfall-what is often considered the probable maximum flood. The weather setup included an area of low pressure trapped between high pressure with a continuous feed of moisture from a slow-moving hurricane/tropical storm that was off the coast of Mexico. This resulted in very intense rainfalls for days over much of the Guadalupe River Basin west of Kerrville, and a similar intense rainfall over the unconnected Llano and San Saba Rivers to the north. The tsunami-like wave flowing down the Guadalupe was due to the particular shape and attributes of its drainage basin along with the running slope and other characteristics of the river.
For someone to say this was due to global warming, etc. they would have to show that somehow the almost locked position of the low and highs and the hurricane pumping water into the atmosphere flowing north were a result of the global warming. However, these features are fairly common for Texas weather. The storm event that informed the 100 year event for many years was a hurricane turned low that moved inland and then sat over Thorndale dropping about 19” rain in a day in the early part of the 20th century. Weather happens and the entirety of many different interactions of our intricate atmosphere are still well beyond our ability to fully comprehend.
Chris Martz’s logic is spot on and can be applied to any type of “extreme” weather such as heat, very high wind speeds etc. Since each weather event only affects a small percentage of the total area of land on Earth (extreme weather over the oceans generally is reported in the media) and there’s a few different types of extremes that can be reported somewhere on Earth with a fairly high population will experience a 1 in a 100 year weather event on a regular basis, maybe one every month. Obviously the area affected will be different every month unless somewhere is really unlucky.
The EU is preparing for WW3. The US is not prepared for WW3:
EU announces plan to stockpile food, water and medicines over fears Putin will launch WW3 with European invasion within five years.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14888885/eu-plan-stockpile-water-food-medicines-putin-invade.html
There is a way that CO2 might cause additional moisture in the atmosphere. The greening of the earth. Even the giant Red woods can draw water to their highest branches due to capillary action. That moisture will then evaporate off into the atmosphere. An entire planet with larger, more abundant and taller greenery could translate into more atmospheric moisture. If true that would lead to more snow during a grand minimum. More snow drops the temperature which creates even more snow.