Avalanche At Kedarnath Temple; Australia’s Bitter Cold And Low Wind Leads To Power Concerns; Greenland’s Record Summer Gains; + Incoming CMEs And The Approaching Solar Max

Avalanche At Kedarnath Temple

On Sunday morning, a large avalanche struck the snowy mountain behind Kedarnath Dham, Uttarakhand, India.

A video of the event went viral on social media.

Fortunately, no casualties or damage have been reported.

“There was no loss of life or property,” Dr. Vishakha Ashok Bhadane, the region’s senior superintendent of police.


Heavy snow has beset the region in recent weeks and months, notes disaster management officer Nandan Singh Rajwar.

The higher reaches Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh and Kashmir have all observed healthy snow volumes in June, with stark temperatures drop noted that are “giving Kashmir a February-like feel in June,” so said the meteorological department.


Australia’s Bitter Cold And Low Wind Leads To Power Concerns

Eastern Australia is enduring a brisk start to the season, felling record lows and defying the BoM’s winter forecast.

On one of the coldest mornings in recent years, thermometers dipped to 7.8C (46F) in Sydney. This chill is part of a broader pattern affecting much of the country, including New South Wales and Queensland, as a polar air mass and clear skies dominate.

In NWS, temperatures at Perisher Valley dropped to -4.7C (23.5F), while Sydney’s Observatory Hill posted an anomalous 8.1C (46.6F). Queensland shivered through similarly frigid conditions, with Stanthorpe hitting -2C (28.4F), the lowest reading in years.

Tasmania has also faced some of its coldest nights in years of late.

Liawanee, for example, on the Central Plateau recorded -12.1C (10.2F), just shy of breaking the state’s all-time record. Ross, with -6.5C (20.3F), experienced its coldest night in more than five years, and Launceston, with -3.1C (26.4F), had its coldest July night in 16 years.

The biting cold has also impacted Australia’s energy grid. A high demand for heating, coupled with low wind power generation, has put immense pressure on infrastructure.

A coal-rich nation relying heavily on unreliable renewables is the crux of the issue. You let a fanciful, anti-human narrative run unchecked and this is the result.

Looking ahead, the ‘blues’ and ‘purples’ are expected to persist, intensify even, into the new week, with a fresh front crossing southeastern Australia — one forecast to deliver additional anomalous lows and also substantial snows to the higher elevations.


Greenland’s Record Summer Gains

Recent data from the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) showcases record-breaking gains on Greenland. Contrary to mainstream foretellings, the ice sheet is posting substantial accumulations, continuing the run started in mid-May.

The latest SMB charts reveal multiple-gigaton gains on June 29 and 30, a stark contrast to the typical summer melt. These gains not only far-exceed the 1981-2010 average, they are also among the highest ever summer readings in 43-years of data.

[DMI]


Indeed, despite the ongoing ‘atmospheric CO2 apocalypse’, fierce chills and sizable snow dumps have worked to deliver the island its largest late-June gains in DMI books dating back to 1981.

[DMI]

The season overall, despite a slow spring, is now riding above the multidecadal mean:

[DMI]


The next chart illustrates the wider story.

It shows that Greenland has been failing to follow the prescribed melting trajectory for years now, since 2012:

Figures are in Gt per year. Chart based on updates to Mankoff et al. (2021). Created by Carbon Brief.


According to alarmist climate models, Greenland should have experienced significant melting by now which, in turn, should have inundated coastal locales with rising seas.

But the data show nothing alarming continues to occur.

As highlighted, 2024 is resulting in additional headaches for the AGW Party. Instead of the anticipated summer melt, Greenland is seeing a late pickup, leading to above-average mass, reinforcing the inconsistency between climate reality and climate models.

The dire predictions of Greenland’s imminent melting are not materializing.

The same can be said for the Arctic. Recent data here indicates that the Arctic sea ice melt since the summer solstice has been the slowest in almost three decades.

The below chart, which comes courtesy of Tony Heller, shows summer sea ice melt from June 21 to June 29 for each year dating back to 1997. Clearly visible, 2024’s melt rate is exceptionally slow; extent is significantly higher than in the past 27 years

[Tony Heller]


The slowest Arctic melt in nearly three decades and record summer gains on Greenland highlight the absurdity of attributing complex climate phenomena to a single forcing (CO2), exposing the simplistic nature of mainstream climate science.

Cooler atmospheric conditions, the jet stream, variations in ocean currents, and healthy Hemisphere-wide snow cover are likely contributing to these anomalies. The same can also be said for the record cold experienced the past few years on Antarctica.


Incoming CMEs And The Approaching Solar Max

Three Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) that left the Sun over the past few days are expected to graze Earth’s magnetic field July 1 through 3, as the Solar Maximum of Cycle 25 continues.

The most significant impact is likely on July 3, stemming from a CME hurled into space by a magnetic filament eruption in the Sun’s southern hemisphere. Minor G1-class geomagnetic storms are possible leading up to the Fourth of July.

As of mid-2024, solar activity has notably increased, suggesting we are approaching the peak of Solar Cycle 25.

As reported by spaceweather.com, amateur astronomer Eduardo Schaberger Poupeau has compiled daily images of the Sun for the first six months of the year, creating a composite image that vividly illustrates the heightened activity:


Rafaela, Provincia de Santa Fe, Argentina, June 30, 2024
[Eduardo Schaberger Poupeau]


Poupeau comments, “Since the beginning of 2024, the Sun has increased its activity. The presence of so many sunspots is a clear indication that we are close to the maximum activity of Solar Cycle 25.”

The composite image reveals two significant patterns.

First, sunspots are concentrated in two distinct bands, one north and one south of the Sun’s equator. As the solar cycle progresses, these bands will converge at the equator, ultimately neutralizing each other in a collision of opposite-polarity magnetic fields. This convergence will mark the transition from Solar Maximum to Solar Minimum.

Second, the southern hemisphere is exhibiting more sunspots than the northern hemisphere. This imbalance is not unusual, as one hemisphere can dominate sunspot activity for extended periods. In this instance, the disparity is largely due to a massive southern sunspot (AR3664) that circled the Sun three times, significantly boosting the southern sunspot count.

Solar Maximum is still unfolding, with some models predicting it could persist for another 2 years. It is possible we have peaked in terms of strength, but a period of relatively high activity is set to persist until ≈2026, meaning continued flare danger.

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