Europe Forecast Continent-Spanning Freeze Starting This Weekend; ∼60,000 Global Weather Stations Have Us At Just 0.15F (0.08C) Above Average; + WMO Climate Disaster Obfuscation

Cap Allon

Europe Forecast Continent-Spanning Freeze Starting This Weekend

The media has been milking Europe’s summertime heat for all it’s worth. And indeed, for stretches, a weak and wavy ‘meridional‘ jet stream flow did indeed drag African plumes anomalously-far north.

Even this week, Western Europe has been dealing with unseasonal warmth (shown below) — a setup the legacy media has been keen to draw the public’s attention to while at the same completely ignoring the expansive mass of ‘blues’ engulfing the East:

GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) for Oct 9 [tropicaltidbits.com].

But soon it will be winter’s turn to dominate, and those reverse ‘wave-4s‘ are already preparing to play their hand:

New Study: Big Jet Stream Waves Have Doubled Since The 1960s…


Indications point to the first proper injection of polar air gripping the European continent starting this weekend:

GFS Temp Anomalies (Oct 15)
GFS Temp Anomalies (Oct 16)


And things only intensify from there.

By the middle/end of next week, a 180-flip looks in order for the likes of France, with temperatures crashing from anomalous highs to record-challenging lows (with very heavy snows) in a matter of days:

GFS Temp Anomalies (Oct 19)
GFS Temp Anomalies (Oct 20)


Latest GFS runs are calling for temperatures as much as 12C below the seasonal norms cutting through the heart of Europe, from Portugal through Spain, France, Germany, continuing eastward all the way to

Early-season snow is even on the cards for the UK:

GFS Total Snowfall (inches) Oct 11 – Oct 27 [tropicaltidbits.com].


Those plunging temperatures, in particular, are a development worth keeping an eye on. Europe’s energy infrastructure WILL NOT cope with a harsh winter — the energy CEOs told us as much — but this is exactly what early indications are warning of:

Winter 2023-24 Forecasts Are All Trending Colder — Harsh Conditions Expected For North America And Europe


As I wrote last November, it is next winter, the winter of 2023-24, that people shroud be worried about.

“We’ve got a difficult winter ahead,” said Russell Hardy, CEO of major oil trader Vitol back in Nov 2022, “and subsequent to that we’ve got a more difficult winter in the year ahead, because the production that is available to Europe in the first half of 2023 is considerably less than the production we had available to us in the first half of 2022.”

BP CEO, Bernard Looney, agreed, saying energy prices “are approaching unaffordability,” with some people already “spending 50% of their disposable income on energy or higher”. Provided it’s not a brutally cold Dec-Feb, Looney thinks “it has been addressed for this winter. It’s the next winter I think many of us worry, in Europe, could be even more challenging.”

CEO of Italian oil and gas giant Eni expressed similar concerns, adding that next winter is the headache “because we are not going to have Russian gas — 98% [less] next year, maybe nothing.”


The UN and its grubby little offshoots, namely the IPCC, are still blindly decrying the use of fossil fuels, warning, as they do, that a far bigger crisis looms if access to cheap and reliable oil, coal and gas isn’t immediately curtailed.

Last year, UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres called for abandoning fossil fuel finance, and labelled any new funding for exploration “delusional”. What is delusional, Guterres, is trying to heat hundreds of millions of homes in the dead of winter with wind and solar. And what should be regarded as criminal is forcibly switching everyday folk over to these failing technologies via decades of agenda-driven under-investment and an outright “bringing to an end” of the Nord Stream.


The ∼60,000 Global Weather Stations Have Us At Just 0.15F (0.08C) Above Average

According to the combined data from ∼60,000 official global weather stations with long standing records, Earth’s temperature is currently sitting at just 0.15F (0.08C) above the multidecadal average.

The data is compiled by Temperature.Global, a website “created by meteorologists and climatologists with over 25 years of professional experience in surface weather observations”.

The site calculates the current temperature of Earth using unadjusted surface temperatures using data sources such as NOAA’s Global METARs, NOAA’s One-Minute Observations (OMOs), NBDC’s Global Buoy Reports, and the MADIS Mesonet Data.

New observations are entered each minute and the site is updated accordingly.

Here is the latest global temperature reading (as of 08:46 UTC on October 11, 2023):



Next are the recorded global temperature averages for the past 8 years:

  • 2015: 0.98F (0.54C) below normal
  • 2016: 0.48F (0.27C) below normal
  • 2017: 0.47F (0.26C) below normal
  • 2018: 1.33F (0.74C) below normal
  • 2019: 0.65F (0.36C) below normal
  • 2020: 0.00F (0.00C) below normal
  • 2021: 0.20F (0.11C) below normal
  • 2022: 0.47F (0.26C) below normal


And here are those averages in graph form, with 2023-to-date included.

Note the overall drop in global temperatures (Jan 2015 to Sept 2023 vs 30 year mean) of -0.278C:


Focusing on official USCRN weather station data for the United States, no warming is detected here either.

The U.S. Climate Reference Network (USCRN) consists of 114 weather and climate monitoring stations distributed widely across the Lower 48, plus Alaska and Hawaii. The system was established and implemented back in the year 2004 by NOAA, and it is considered the world’s gold-standard for the collection, measurement, processing and reporting of weather and climate information.

Here’s what the USCRN has detected in recent years (Jun 2011 to Sept 2023):


These official weather station data give rise to honest questions:

Can we trust the data? And if so, which data?


WMO Climate Disaster Obfuscation

Government and inter-government agencies alike trade in obfuscation. It’s how they get away with it. They don’t lie, exactly; they bend statistics, skew models and obfuscate their group-thinking little brains out.

According to a recent World Meteorological Organization posting on X, which cites NOAA data: “This year, [the] USA has had 24 weather and climate disasters with losses of more than $1 billion — a new record”.

And they provide this helpful graphic:

These agencies have utterly beclowned themselves with the ‘global boiling’ meme and their credibility couldn’t be lower; still, the MSM dutifully promotes their tired spewings and, in turn, I’m sure a not insignificant proportion of the public still buy them.

To counter the WMO’s aforementioned nonsense, we have Dr. Matthew Wielicki, who replied: “Why do you use total cost and not normalize it to GDP?”

Is this why…


Thank you to all those who purchased my book. If you could leave a positive review on Amazon that would be a great help (keep any bad reviews to yourself ;p — as the world’s governing bodies routinely demonstrate, nobody is interested in hearing the truth).

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