SoCal’s Back-To-Back Bumper Snow Seasons; Cold And Snow To Persist Into May Across Europe; + El Niño Has Officially Ended

SoCal’s Back-To-Back Bumper Snow Seasons

Bear Mountain, Southern California has logged a whopping 175 inches of snow this season — the resort’s second-snowiest winter on record, behind only 2022-23’s when a jaw-dropping 243 inches accumulated.

These AGW defying totals are the highest since Bear’s records began in 1999-20.

“Better late than never,” reports “What began with a sluggish start has quickly transformed into one of the most memorable winters in recent memory.”

These slow beginnings were pounced upon by a crisis-feeding MSM:

However, by early-February the season was flipped on its head after a series of powerful winter storms barreled in.

On Feb 2 – 3 alone, almost a foot of snow landed. Then, within a span of just 72-hours starting Feb 6, more than 100 inches had pummeled western slopes, with Big Bear receiving 70+ inches.

The storms persisted throughout February, making for one of the snowiest months on record. The powder train kept chugging through March and all, and now well into April it is still going strong assisted by the return of fierce Arctic air:

GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) April 18 – 21 [].

The MSM’s response?

They begrudgingly accept defeat this season — California has been spared, “for now”:

Cold And Snow To Persist Into May Across Europe

‘Better late than never’ is a theme playing out across Europe and all, where polar cold and widespread snow is forecast to intensify through the second-half of April, extending into May even.

As copied-&-pasted across the British tabloids this week, “a 42-hour snow blast is set to send temperatures plunging across the country with almost every corner of the UK is set to be hit by the polar freeze.”

Scotland could experience lows of -6C (21.2F), lower in some sheltered spots, which would challenge long-standing cold records for the date. The UK’s lowest ever temperature on April 20 –for example– is the -7.8C (18F) set at Alwen, Wales in 1969.

This out-of-season chill won’t be confined to Britain, much of mainland Europe will also be impacted.

Latest GFS runs have doubled-down on an intense, widespread and long-lasting freeze, lasting perhaps into May.

Such anomalous cold will threaten young and budding crops, and Europe’s growers, from France to the Balkans, have been placed on alert with ‘frost fires’ being prepared.

GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) April 17 – May 2 [].

Large temperature drops have already being reported across the continent.

Using Villach, Austria as our example, the unusually hot 30.9C (87.6F) posted there on Sunday has been followed by the biggest 48-hour temperature drop in recorded history (books dating back to 1939). It is now 0C (32F) in Villach and snowing.

Other Austrian cities have endured similar fates, with Deutschlandsberg crashing from 31.7C (89.1F) on Sunday to 1C (33.8F) and snowfall on Tuesday.

From summer to winter in two days; this isn’t CO2-induced global heating, this is evidence of a weakening jet stream.

Europe’s spring snow is only set to intensify as the month progresses, forecast to extend into May even, prolonging what has turned out to be a tremendous season for the higher elevations (following a lackluster Jan and Feb):

GFS Total Snowfall (cm) April 17 – May 3 [].

Up north in Finland, continuous snow cover has persisted for 191 days in Sodankylä Tähtelä. Snow began falling on Oct 8 and has remained on the ground ever since.

This is an exceptional feat, the fourth-longest stretch (to April 15) in books dating back to 1910.

Moreover, given the looming polar freeze, which is set to run into May, no spring melting is on the cards anytime soon. Combine this with the 74 cm (29 inches) of snow left on the ground (as of April 16) and Sodankylä’s total duration has a shot at besting the all-time record-breaking stretch of 231 days, set Oct 5, 1968 to May 23, 1969.

The COLD TIMES are returning.

It’s just that El Niño, Solar Maximum and Hunga-Tonga have worked to put a pin in things in 2023, three natural forcings that are all now waning.

El Niño Has Officially Ended

The 2023 El Niño has ended, say the Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BoM). The Pacific Ocean has “cooled substantially” in the past week.

The naturally occurring El Niño brought warmer waters to the surface of the Pacific, adding heat to the atmosphere and putting on hold the cumulative cooling effect of years of low solar activity.

The BBC, seemingly annoyed by a “quicker than expected” end to El Niño and the subsequent threat of a returning of La Niña (as it would lead to a stark drop in global temperatures), have stepped up the ‘catastrophism’, going so far as to suggest that La Niña may actually never return.

“The world could be tipping into a new phase of even faster climate change,” writes the BBC’s environmental correspondent Matt McGrath, quoting unnamed “scientists,” with the months after the end of El Niño giving “a strong indication as to whether the recent high temperatures are due to accelerated climate change or not.”

The article then breaks to list a few related climate scare stories:

— World’s coral turns white from deadly ocean heat
— UK food production at threat after extreme flooding

The BBC argues, with the help of the BoM, that “as the current global ocean conditions have not been observed before, inferences as to how ENSO may develop in 2024 that are based on past events may not be reliable.”

A returning La Niña is indeed a big blow to the AGW Party.

According to ‘The Science’ (linked below), El Niño should be the dominate ENSO pattern in a warming world. If La Niña ends up ruling, which appears to be the case (with NOAA forecasting 2023-24 to be the fourth La Niña winter of the last five) then something entirely different is likely playing out.

Natural forcings are the be-all and end-all — no bogeyman required.

If you’re going to pump an extra 10% of water vapor into the stratosphere (Hunga-Tonga) and combine that with a Solar Maximum AND an El Niño then fireworks are to be expected.

On the flip side though, now that all three of these natural forcings are waning the coming years should continue where we left off in early-2023 (i.e. below baseline):

[Dr Roy Spencer]

Let’s see where the next 12-months take us.

Further reading:

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