Love it. I made acomment on The Australian forum that similarly pointed out that they can’t predict 24 hours (I’ve seen forecasts out by 10 degrees celcius – how many of those ould it take to upset the 50 – 100 year predictions, that are spposedly accurate to within 0.5 of a degree celcius?). So how can they be telling us they know what the average global temp will be in 50 – 100 years? ( Iknow I repeated myself there, but I’ve had a few…)
It’s madness.
Valentina Zharkova predicts wetter summer for Australia and souther hemisphere and summers to the northern hemisphere but longer and protracted winter!. Looks like Dr Zharkova, who studied the Sun’s minimum and maximum cycles,seems to getting it right about the Climate variability due the Sun….
Yes, Prof. Zharkovais right, and we should all prepair for food shortages because of long winter and short summer.
I wish Cap and his family and all readers Happy New Year.
Already stocking up and remember the item needed to protect those ‘treasures’…guns/ammo.
Here in America I worry about the Madrid quake zone. When it goes, millions will be dead in a week and in one year…HELL ON EARTH for America.
😂🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
WHAT??? 😳
And Humans think they can control Earths EVERYTHING🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
Anyway…Thank You for that info. That means the Northern Hemisphere is in for a good ole snow whoopin’ like 1978!!!🥶😉🤬😎
My observations of the BOM’S forecasts are that they frequently forecast high temperatures which turn out to be significantly higher than the actual temperatures observed , and they almost never forecast very cold temperatures which are actually observed.
It is almost like they prefer to build in an upside bias to all their temperature forecasts , which are often not actually reached.
Unfortunately the observed temps get little media attention , while the hyperbolic forecasts of heatwaves and record high temps get massive media attention.
Currently I also have noticed many BOM misses on the high temperature side. A decade ago I was told that the BOM forecasts were made from 7 computer models (2 are usually favoured) on their mainframe. I was told that the dominant and most favoured model was from the UK or the Northern Hemisphere. These models run daily and the favoured model used before an BOM weather forecast is adjusted manually by the available weatherman and delivered to whoever buys (under contract). The forecast bought by our company provided half hourly temperatures over the next 48hrs. Selection of the favoured model seems to be by BOM’s senior forecasters.
The narrative “change is caused by human activity” may in fact be true. We live in a spiritual world and through our action sin enters the world/universe, ever expanding the ‘wages of sin”. Death will soon be upon us. Repent for the time is near.
I was just reading the newest Dirk Pitt out in the Sun and then did some bakin . Got away from the pute for a half an hour and there was an X 4 solar flare. when I checked Solarham and Space Weather, No verbal reports yea or sat feeds to show it. The radio blackout map shows it now hitting mid S Pacific, it’s JUMBO!! https://www.solarham.net/ https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap
typo, quakes W Japan, not E Japan. Big difference. Could be a tsunami Korea, S Russia, NE China. All E side Japan. Not directed towards Pacific O regions.
Unlock with Patreon
Love it. I made acomment on The Australian forum that similarly pointed out that they can’t predict 24 hours (I’ve seen forecasts out by 10 degrees celcius – how many of those ould it take to upset the 50 – 100 year predictions, that are spposedly accurate to within 0.5 of a degree celcius?). So how can they be telling us they know what the average global temp will be in 50 – 100 years? ( Iknow I repeated myself there, but I’ve had a few…)
It’s madness.
Good drink I hope Sir.
But many Americans are finally waking to the fact that the AGW crowd is full of cow Patty’s.
Three hours is pushing it
THREE???Heck the Weather Nation on cable changes HOURLY!!!
😂
Valentina Zharkova predicts wetter summer for Australia and souther hemisphere and summers to the northern hemisphere but longer and protracted winter!. Looks like Dr Zharkova, who studied the Sun’s minimum and maximum cycles,seems to getting it right about the Climate variability due the Sun….
Yes, Prof. Zharkovais right, and we should all prepair for food shortages because of long winter and short summer.
I wish Cap and his family and all readers Happy New Year.
Already stocking up and remember the item needed to protect those ‘treasures’…guns/ammo.
Here in America I worry about the Madrid quake zone. When it goes, millions will be dead in a week and in one year…HELL ON EARTH for America.
It appears we have swung back to another La Nina already, in the middle of an anomalously warm central tropical Pacific. (El Nino)
Naughty olde weather.
Which ENSO region are you looking at? If 1.2, rather than 3.4, you may be correct. 3.4 if looking unusually stable.
At the end of this animation the warm water pool around NE and N Australia has returned, plus a Tasman Sea heatwave. Let us see if the trend holds.
https://coralreefwatch.noaa.gov/data/5km/v3.1/current/animation/gif/ssta_animation_90day_large.gif
SST between Australia, New Guinea , and Timor Leste is hitting the 33 degree C.
https://www.ventusky.com/?p=-14;153;1&l=temperature-water
Hi Donna. My reply to you was ghosted.
😂🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
WHAT??? 😳
And Humans think they can control Earths EVERYTHING🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
Anyway…Thank You for that info. That means the Northern Hemisphere is in for a good ole snow whoopin’ like 1978!!!🥶😉🤬😎
The dot on the ONI chart for Dec will be out in a few days and it should be about the same as NOV which was the third strongest since ’90 and seventh since ’50. Strong El Nino. https://ggweather.com/enso/oni.htm
The big difference on the SST Anoms map is it got warmer between Oz and S S America. More heat was added as the days got longer and there was solar activity. Biggest flare of the cycle. In Nz the hot days had flares during the planetary alignments right on schedule.
https://coralreefwatch.noaa.gov/data/5km/v3.1/current/animation/gif/ssta_animation_30day_large.gif
https://www.accuweather.com/en/nz/raglan/250701/december-weather/250701
Remember, a warming climate change causes colder temperatures. Just ask them…
Sounds like the Aussie BoM intends to (deliberately?) continue publishing bogus weather predictions, They wish to do so free from liability.
A happy and prosperous 2024 to all!
I wish everyone a wonderful New Year and a healthy 2024
My observations of the BOM’S forecasts are that they frequently forecast high temperatures which turn out to be significantly higher than the actual temperatures observed , and they almost never forecast very cold temperatures which are actually observed.
It is almost like they prefer to build in an upside bias to all their temperature forecasts , which are often not actually reached.
Unfortunately the observed temps get little media attention , while the hyperbolic forecasts of heatwaves and record high temps get massive media attention.
That is the “narrative” and to not adhere to that risks less money, less grants, firing of “reporters”.
Currently I also have noticed many BOM misses on the high temperature side. A decade ago I was told that the BOM forecasts were made from 7 computer models (2 are usually favoured) on their mainframe. I was told that the dominant and most favoured model was from the UK or the Northern Hemisphere. These models run daily and the favoured model used before an BOM weather forecast is adjusted manually by the available weatherman and delivered to whoever buys (under contract). The forecast bought by our company provided half hourly temperatures over the next 48hrs. Selection of the favoured model seems to be by BOM’s senior forecasters.
The narrative “change is caused by human activity” may in fact be true. We live in a spiritual world and through our action sin enters the world/universe, ever expanding the ‘wages of sin”. Death will soon be upon us. Repent for the time is near.
Happy 2024 from this side of the date line ( Australia )! Good luck for the coming year – I think we will all need it…
Canadian geese still way up North in Canada on Xmas, record warm.
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/W8abWzpPsSc
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KzLEUkSz2qY
Record warm El Nino Dec NW US< Another non GSM global cooling year and another one forecast in '24.
https://komonews.com/news/local/mild-december-weather-sets-new-records-in-western-washington-temperature-spring-sea-tac-government-forecaster-warm-snow-skier-snowboarders#
I was just reading the newest Dirk Pitt out in the Sun and then did some bakin . Got away from the pute for a half an hour and there was an X 4 solar flare. when I checked Solarham and Space Weather, No verbal reports yea or sat feeds to show it. The radio blackout map shows it now hitting mid S Pacific, it’s JUMBO!!
https://www.solarham.net/
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap
Lots of typos on last post, too excited . X4 flare from old sunspot that caused the X 2 solar flare last month!! The sunspot is on the far left side of the Sun it’s just turning into view on the horizon:
https://www.solarham.net/pictures/2023/dec31_2023_3514.jpg
https://www.spaceweather.com/images2023/31dec23/x5_teal.jpg
View of Sun’s polarity at the time of the X 4 flare, right between pos and neg:
https://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/QR/bqG/202312/mrbqG231231/mrbqG231231t1754c2279_171.gif
https://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/QR/bq4/202312/mrbq4231231/mrbq4231231t1704c2279_171.gif
https://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/assets/img/latest/latest_2048_0193.jpg
Mag 7.5 quake E Japan following the X 5 solar flare. Also a mag 6.2 same area five others so far at 12:22 PST.
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us6000m0xl/executive
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/?extent=35.5054,-225.52185&extent=39.25778,-220.29236&listOnlyShown=true
Solarham is calling the solar flare an X 5. Space Weather was calling it an X 4, now they’ve updated to an X 5:
https://www.solarham.net/top10.htm
typo, quakes W Japan, not E Japan. Big difference. Could be a tsunami Korea, S Russia, NE China. All E side Japan. Not directed towards Pacific O regions.