Report: High Energy Prices Likely Killed More Europeans Than COVID; CME Impact; + Rumble
Report: High Energy Prices Likely Killed More Europeans Than COVID
The AGW Party love models, well here’s one for you…
The Economist: “Our modelling estimates that high energy prices claimed 68,000 lives”.
Europe’s dangerous push for renewables, combined with the poking of Putin the bear–who in return cut gas exports to the continent–led to a 145% surge in energy prices last winter. Although wholesale costs have now fallen back, prices of domestic electricity and gas, compared with two years prior, are still up around 70%.
High energy prices can cost lives. They leave many with a difficult choice: heating or eating?
Living in cold conditions raises the risk of cardiac and respiratory problems.
Last November, The Economist predicted that expensive power might result in between 22,000 and 138,000 deaths during a mild winter. “Unfortunately, we appear to have been correct.”
To assess how deaths last winter compare to previous ones The Economist used a common measure of mortality: excess deaths.
Comparing last winter with the winters of 2015-2019, excess deaths across Europe were higher than normal. Across 28 European countries, there were 149,000 excess deaths between November 2022 and February 2023, equivalent to a 7.8% increase.
Of that 149,000 excess deaths, around 60,000 were officially logged as ‘COVID-19’ deaths, with ‘the weather’ being the other major contributing factor.
A record-breaking Arctic outbreak at the end of December 2022 saw a sharp spike in mortality.
Research has found that a drop of 1 degree Celsius (1.8 Fahrenheit) in the average temperature over a three-week period is associated with a 2.2% rise in total deaths — a point that telescreen personalities and pop-scientists alike never talk to, because publicly recognizing that cold is worse than heat, that warmth is preferable, is a truth that must be vehemently buried so as not to muddy narrative waters.
Overall, Europe was spared a harsh winter last time around. It was mercifully mild, milder than the average of 2015-2019, anyway, so cold alone cannot be responsible for the additional deaths — high energy prices likely contributed.
Delving deeper, countries with the highest excess deaths typically experienced the biggest increases in energy costs.
The Economist goes on to estimate that a price rise of around €0.10 per kwh–some 30% of last winter’s average electricity price–was related to an increase in a country’s weekly mortality of around 2.2%. If electricity last winter had cost the same as it did in 2020, the model would have expected 68,000 fewer deaths across Europe, a decline of 3.6%.
The model shows that during the winter of 2022-2023 more Europeans died of the cold (via higher energy prices) than of COVID, which in turn goes to show how crucial a reliable energy market is to health and well-being of a society.
Our dogmatic drive to eradicate cheap and reliable energy (i.e. fossil fuels) is a dangerous and wholly unnecessary gambit. The new technology isn’t ready. A premature switch to wind and solar has already led to far more excess deaths than if we had instead opted to improve on the current infrastructure of coal, oil and gas.
Last winter in Europe is proof of this.
Blame the Kremlin all you want–the media sure has been tasked to do so–but it is the orchestrated drop in fossil fuel-based output that is delivering Europe its biggest energy hurdle. Putin cutting a percentage of the continent’s gas flow is the sanctioned excuse, but the U.S. has already plugged that gap and is profiting immensely. Biden’s suspected blowing-up of the Nord Stream certainly helped in that regard, an act that brought about a far larger reduction in Russia > Europe gas flows than Putin ever imposed.
Europe’s next colder-than-average winter will expose all of this, and any major energy shortfalls (i.e. blackouts) could comfortably run excess deaths north of a million.
Alarmists are willing to trade off short term losses for the long-term survival of planet Earth, but this reasoning is built on flawed science: It depends on an irrational fear of carbon–the building blocks of life; on a fear of warmth–which increases biodiversity; and it requires taking a metaphorical bullet to the foot–as everyday folk relinquish their hard, multi-generational earned prosperity in return for a promise that the world won’t end. This is a classic tactic, one employed to control populations for time immemorial. And now here we are in 2023 falling for it once again.
CME Impact
Arriving a day earlier than expected, a coronal mass ejection (CME) hit Earth’s magnetic field on September 18th:
The fast-moving CME triggered a G2-class geomagnetic storm on Monday into Tuesday.
Bright auroras danced around the Arctic Circle.
Markus Varik witnessed a “massive powerful outburst” over Tromsø, Norway:
“Last night in Tromsø was simply astonishing,” says Varik. “There was no way to prepare ourselves for what we saw.”
Rumble
I’ve started a Rumble (and YouTube) channel with the hope of giving the truth a wider reach.
Please follow me over there for daily videos, the latest of which is linked below (WordPress doesn’t like Rumble embedding, but ignoring the over-sized black border, the content seems to play fine. Better yet though, watch directly on Rumble.com):
Thank you for your support.
Cap.
Australia announced today an El Nino event-
https://www.skynews.com.au/australia-news/weather/drought-bushfires-on-the-cards-for-australia-as-the-bureau-of-meteorology-declares-an-el-nino-climate-event-for-the-first-time-in-eight-years/news-story/7edb4a8c04db504cc28cf58ab65dfe39
Lestonio.
I live in the south of Brazil, it seems to me that a Strong El Niño is underway, but it is still too early to confirm ‘media exaggerations’, and according to forecasts it will be strong, but short-lived.
Maybe we have more oscillations (Meridional Jet Stream) between lows and highs temps than a ‘classic’ El Niño, but that’s just my opinion.
Sorry but this is NOT an ‘El Nino’ in the least bit. The westerly belt is all but dead and has been for the last two months, which is more of a Nina trait. Unprecedented ocean heat, will see more La Ninas and extreme flooding just as the science predicted. Why you denialists can’t get this through your blasted heads I’m stumped.
https://electroverse.co/new-study-eastern-pacific-ocean-is-cooling/
That’s exactly what I said. La Nina, flooding rains and nonexistent Aussie snow, are the new norm unfortunately.
I did in no way say I agreed with the BOM post.
The Murdoch press published it with no paywall…
BOM have made a huge error, as time will show.
https://ggweather.com/enso/oni.htm
https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/ocean/sst/anomaly/
https://coralreefwatch.noaa.gov/data/5km/v3.1/current/animation/gif/ssta_animation_30day_large.gif
https://www.windy.com/-Show—add-more-layers/overlays?fwi,2023092900,-28.691,138.032,5,i:pressure,m:cVzajQq
https://www.windy.com/-Show—add-more-layers/overlays?rainAccu,next10d,-28.691,138.032,5,i:pressure,m:cUUajSt
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/?extent=-82.07003,-297.42188&extent=81.56997,23.20313&range=month
Funny how the “science” predicted more El Nino’s.
Been hotter than average in Sydney the last five days (33C) but the forecast is back to average from Thursday. Could easily be the wavy jet stream phenomena leading to a swing between minor extremes. As for El Nino, the AGW crazies told us that that particular weather event would become more frequent (cos CO2 bad) than its opposite La Nina. Another prediction fail.
I think it’s a wee bit more than ‘hotter than average’ lol…each and every heat record for September has been surpassed by this unprecedented heat, in every corner of NSW. When will you denialists finally wake up.
Oh, and there is no ‘wavy jetstream’ to speak of. This was a strongly zonal flow as evident by the total lack of cold air (much like the entirety of this past “winter”). Uniformly warm.
Cap, you are being attacked. The first ad is about the nord stream US attack being false, The site is called Millennial News. I wonder who is behind this. On other days, the ad talks about the climate crisis. Greetings from Grey county, Canada.
I’m not sure how ads are still running on the site. Usually I’ve lost them by now (moved to .info extension months ago). ‘They’ likely haven’t been able to pin anything overly ‘egregious’ on me yet–via my content. It’s only a matter of time though. Thank you for your continued support Don.
Hi Cap,
in the Firefox mobile web browser between the lines of your articles, they display crazy ads – one of them is linking to nopolluting.com one of these BS channels labeling humans for this extreme heat worldwide. It does not appear in desktop Firefox and mobile Brave. I guess they analyze your content and send this crap as a counterbalance. Anyway it is a bit funny to read how they want only one point of view on what’s happening with the weather
This recent study shows that cold weather we have every year causes about 4.6 million deaths a year mainly through increased strokes and heart attacks, compared with about 500,000 deaths a year from hot weather. We don’t protect our lungs from the cold air in the winter and that causes our blood vessels to constrict causing heart attacks and strokes.
‘Global, regional and national burden of mortality associated with nonoptimal ambient temperatures from 2000 to 2019: a three-stage modelling study’
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanplh/article/PIIS2542-5196(21)00081-4/fulltext
This article from 2015 says that cold weather kills 20 times as many people as hot weather and that moderately warm or cool weather kills far more people than extreme weather. Increased strokes and heart attacks from cool weather are the main cause of the deaths.
‘Mortality risk attributable to high and low ambient temperature: a multi-country observational study’ https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(14)62114-0/fulltext
Hey Cap,
The Rumble video is great!!!
As for ads, I did not have a problem with them until a couple months ago.
Now I go to Brave – Settings – Shields – Block Scripts !
But I have to release it in order to comment.
Now I will try watching the video while I eat my morning oatmeal.
Dallas
Yes Don, I get that on the phone using the Ghostery browser, main pc with Firefox ad blockers including Ghostery amongst others all good, no lies being posted over what one is trying to read
The Australian Bureau of Meteorology has just announced that La Nina has officially started.
How can they announce La Nina has started when the nino 3.4 sea surface temperature anomaly is +1.39?
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/monitoring/nino3_4.png
The report in the Economist completely misses the elephant in the room, Covid vaccines. Excess deaths in most of Europe have been high pretty much every month since summer 2021. If high energy prices were the cause excess deaths would much higher when people need to use more energy.
Yes. Here in Australia a colder winter is not that cold by comparison, yet AU has still had significant excess mortality.
Indeed. They might have missed it, or they might have been told to miss it, not sure which.
Just FYI, If you don’t do “shorts” and “lives” you likely won’t be promoted in the algorithms on YouTube. Several homesteaders who’ve been at it for years and even a Christian channel which does theological commentary on current events, all reported they were de-promoted until starting shorts and lives. Best of luck to you. We’re all chasing fewer and fewer dollars.
How’s the garden going this year?
Good luck with Youtube.
Rumble probably won’t shadow ban you, but if they get too popular, they might get squished. Remember Parler?
The only platforms that are totally robust in my view are a) email and b) Telegram. I would highly suggest to start an email list, even if it is just to notify of the new posts when they drop. And Telegram channels are 100% free. Telegram is getting really big and it doesn’t censor.
wishing you well.