Attention Texas:
Not guaranteed to happen but it could be severe if it does. Severe enough to warrant keeping an eye on anyway.
Model runs predict snow & freezing rain in Texas starting in 126 hours.
120 hours or less is in the window of reliability for model predictions.
Significant Snow predicted
to start moving into Texas in 126 hours which is on the fringe of reliability for the GFS model. The snow & freezing rain is predicted to reach the central area in 144 hours. Continue unabated until 168 hours. Texas has never seen anything like this in our life time. Snow & freezing rain for more then 24 hours.
We are going to stoke up on water, fill propane gas bottles and any other things we think we may need. If accumulating ice hits expect protracted power outages.
When a winter storms like this hits this far south the rest of the country east of the Rockies have their own problems. Probably No help coming.
There are several low pressure areas in the Pacific Ocean that create large amounts of snow/rain in Russia and the US:
The West is being dominated by a strong blocking ridge, preventing storms systems from moving into the region. This pattern breaks down late next week/weekend, allowing for systems to roll in off the Pacific, brining moisture and mountain snow
—Much of the article details BP’s (formerly British Petroleum) headlong rush into renewable energy while drastically cutting their bread-and-butter oil and gas exploration. Barely five years later, the BP Greeniacs are out of favor, if not gone, and new oil and gas executives are leading a headlong rush back into oil and gas.
A lot of Europe is also going to get, possibly 2 weeks or more, of temperatures 10-15C or more below average. The models show a lot of variation from one run to the next regarding where might see significant snow. Some runs show low lying parts of the UK getting 10-20cm of snow with higher ground in the East getting 80-100cm. These are exceptional amounts for the UK (other than the Scottish mountains) and would mean the next few weeks could see the most severe winter conditions since 2010 or even be more severe than that memorable winter.
With a blocking high over Europe low pressure is often forced north towards Greenland bringing above average temperatures but also a lot of snow. The Surface Mass Balance shows gains of about 7GT a day for the past 2 days and the models are predicting similar gains most days until the end of the model run. This would push the total mass gain since September well above the long term average, it’s currently slightly below average.
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Attention Texas:
Not guaranteed to happen but it could be severe if it does. Severe enough to warrant keeping an eye on anyway.
Model runs predict snow & freezing rain in Texas starting in 126 hours.
120 hours or less is in the window of reliability for model predictions.
Significant Snow predicted
to start moving into Texas in 126 hours which is on the fringe of reliability for the GFS model. The snow & freezing rain is predicted to reach the central area in 144 hours. Continue unabated until 168 hours. Texas has never seen anything like this in our life time. Snow & freezing rain for more then 24 hours.
We are going to stoke up on water, fill propane gas bottles and any other things we think we may need. If accumulating ice hits expect protracted power outages.
When a winter storms like this hits this far south the rest of the country east of the Rockies have their own problems. Probably No help coming.
Snow in Texas doesn’t get like in Kamchatka, Russia.
https://asianmail.in/2026/01/19/record-breaking-snowfall-in-russia-extreme-snow-buries-towns-in-kamchatka/
There are several low pressure areas in the Pacific Ocean that create large amounts of snow/rain in Russia and the US:
The West is being dominated by a strong blocking ridge, preventing storms systems from moving into the region. This pattern breaks down late next week/weekend, allowing for systems to roll in off the Pacific, brining moisture and mountain snow
ARTICLE
Suppressing Climate Dissent Cannot Prevent Reality From Asserting Itself
January 17, 2026/ Francis Menton
https://www.manhattancontrarian.com/blog/2026-1-17-suppressing-climate-dissent-cannot-prevent-reality-from-asserting-itself
—Much of the article details BP’s (formerly British Petroleum) headlong rush into renewable energy while drastically cutting their bread-and-butter oil and gas exploration. Barely five years later, the BP Greeniacs are out of favor, if not gone, and new oil and gas executives are leading a headlong rush back into oil and gas.
Btw, about the USA freezing up… Should we Blame Canada? The air goes through Canada before it gets to me!
https://media.giphy.com/media/RIkZUappLq16YcpzAk/giphy.gif
A lot of Europe is also going to get, possibly 2 weeks or more, of temperatures 10-15C or more below average. The models show a lot of variation from one run to the next regarding where might see significant snow. Some runs show low lying parts of the UK getting 10-20cm of snow with higher ground in the East getting 80-100cm. These are exceptional amounts for the UK (other than the Scottish mountains) and would mean the next few weeks could see the most severe winter conditions since 2010 or even be more severe than that memorable winter.
With a blocking high over Europe low pressure is often forced north towards Greenland bringing above average temperatures but also a lot of snow. The Surface Mass Balance shows gains of about 7GT a day for the past 2 days and the models are predicting similar gains most days until the end of the model run. This would push the total mass gain since September well above the long term average, it’s currently slightly below average.