The U.S. Experienced A Cooler-Than-Average Summer; New Zealand’s Frigid August; + Earth-Directed “Explosion”

The U.S. Experienced A Cooler-Than-Average Summer

Legacy media outlets can throw all the ‘world burning’ rhetoric they want at it, but it doesn’t change the facts — the United States experienced a cooler-than-average summer, as revealed by the data:

[CDAS 0.5] 90-day 2m Temperature Anomaly (ran Aug 31, 2023)

The South was hot, uncomfortably so, but the remainder of the CONUS, for the most part, held anomalous cool.

And now the month of September is starting chilly, and all, particularly across the east:

GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Sept 1 []

So the above is the irrefutable reality, yet below is how The Guardian have opted to report on the summertime just gone…

“A relentless barrage of extreme weather events, fueled by human-caused global heating, has swept the North American continent this summer, routinely placing a third of the US population under warnings of severe heat and unleashing floods, fire and smoke upon communities, with a record 15 separate disasters causing at least $1bn in damages so far this year.”

And if you thought that was bad, “next year may well be worse, climate experts say.”

“This summer will be among the cooler summers this century,” so says Daniel Swain, a climate scientist at UCLA. “It will feel like a remarkably cool summer 30 years from now even though it feels so extreme now. It is quite amazing, in fact it’s mind-blowing when you think about it.” –Think about what, exactly? That absurd statement that you just made up?

The Guardian provides the following image of a girl with a sweat-on:

[Kaylee Greenlee Beal/Reuters]

Well what more proof do we need?

The extremes have at times been wild this season, but for both hot and cool, dry and wet; overall, however, things have largely balanced out, as they always seem to do.

Temperature averages have actually tipped to the cool side, meaning cries of ‘climate crisis’ and ‘global boiling’ appear unsubstantiated.

The Guardian’s ‘summer recap’ reads like an agenda-appeasing, cherry-picking propaganda piece, one far removed from reality. Indeed, with its overuse of buzzwords such as “freakish” and “apocalyptic” it reads more like a tired, dime-store novel than the honest journalistic endeavor it purports to be.

New Zealand’s Frigid August

New Zealand has been under the influence of fierce Antarctic outbreaks for weeks now, and temperatures have suffered.

According to NIWA’s Climate Outlook released at the onset of winter, August temperatures were forecast to be “above average in the west of the North Island and north and west of the South Island,” and “near average or above average in all other regions.”

Reality, however, has proven this forecast off the mark.

August finished cooler than average, substantially so — approximately -0.7C off the mulitidecadal norm.

These are what the final days of August delivered across ‘the bottom of the world’ [NIWA].

NIWA claims that August 2023 was New Zealand’s first cooler-than-average month since the June of 2017, but this is largely only because a month needs to exceed a temperature threshold of lower than -0.5C in order for the agency to deem it anomalous.

Many individual locales have posted well-below average temperatures since 2017, and the country itself has logged many anomalously chilly months, just none that quite exceeded that curious -0.5C threshold.

The Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect is also an issue.

NIWA relies on just seven urban-based stations to obtain its official readings for the entire country; these being Auckland, Masterton, Wellington, Hokitika, Nelson, Lincoln, and Dunedin, which together are known as the ‘seven station temperature series’.

No official rural temperature stations exist.

Stations located in towns and cities give higher readings than those positioned away from tarmac and vehicles, etc. This isn’t a contentious statement, even among today’s climate ‘scientists’, it simply isn’t widely discussed. It is, however, a factor that former NASA scientist Dr. Roy Spencer is “convinced” is skewing the global temperature trend (his analysis linked here), particularly when it comes to overnight lows.

And there’s more…

NIWA’s seven stations appear to only average the highest and lowest temperatures — a basic two sample average.

And so it stands, New Zealand’s official temperature charting (shown below), which shows warming from 1908 to present, could be the result of urban station siting (expanding metropolises) and also the basic averaging of the impacted highs and lows.

Also, I suppose we’re to ignore the clear and obvious cooling from ≈1960-1990 while CO2 emissions were rising exponentially.

NZ’s 7-station annual average temperature, minus 1991-2020 normal (adjusted for site changes–that’s another story)

Earth-Directed “Explosion”

A magnetic filament on the sun erupted on August 30, opening a “canyon of fire” in the sun’s northern hemisphere:

As the canyon walls were thrown open, a coronal mass ejection (CME) billowed into space:

[Solar and Heliospheric Observatory, or SOHO]

Latest NOAA modelling suggests that the CME will hit Earth on Sunday, September 3:

The impact will likely cause a G1-class geomagnetic storm.

Mercury and Venus are also in the firing line line of fire.

According to the below NASA model, the CME is hitting Mercury as I type (Sept 1):

If this is the case, then ribbons of X-ray aurora are currently snaking across the planet’s Sun-blasted surface, writes Dr Tony Phillips of The same model shows the CME striking Venus during the early hours of Sept 2, likely eroding some atmosphere from the planet’s unprotected cloud-tops. (A phenomenon that, fortunately, doesn’t occur on Earth).

The month of September began with another solar flaring event:

M1-class flare released from AR3413, Sept 1.

Peaking at 01:00 UT, the M1-class flare exploded from sunspot AR3413 and lasted for hours–long enough to lift a CME out of the Sun’s atmosphere. Fresh data from SOHO coronagraphs will tell us if there is an Earth-directed component. So stay tuned for updates.

Despite these handful of violent discharges, however, sunspots remain at both a premium and also relatively stable (see below)–especially when you consider how far into Solar Cycle 25 we now are. We’re nearing solar maximum–expected by most solar physicists to occur in 2024.

All of these sunspots have relatively stable magnetic fields that pose little threat for strong solar flares [SDO/HMI]

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