“Unprecedented” April Cold Sweeps Siberia; Sri Lanka Shivers; + More Establishment Obfuscation
“Unprecedented” April Cold Sweeps Siberia
Abnormally cold weather has been infecting Siberia this week, particularly southern parts.
On average, temperatures have been holding 6C below the seasonal norm, as much as 16C in some regions.
This part of the world is accustomed to light frosts during the month of April; however the Siberian nights have been delivering hard, disruptive freezes. The mercury is plunging to -20C (-4F) in parts, with lows of -10C to -15C (14F to 5F) widespread.
Such lows are proving record-breaking reports hmn.ru.
In Novokuznetsk, for example, thermometers recently read -19.3C/-2.7F (-22C/-7.6F according to an automatic weather station), which smashes the locale’s previous April low of -11.6C/11.1F set in 2008 (solar minimum of cycle 23). In nearby Novosibirsk, -14.2C (6.4F) was logged, which is some 5C below the previous benchmark; Omsk posted a record -11.9C (10.6F); Pudino -15.2C (4.6F).
Moreover, the records are not just confined to Siberia, with the wider Central Asia region also suffering, including Kazakhstan–a nation coming off the back of a truly brutal winter. Here, Irtyshsk logged -12.5C (54.5F) on April 19 — a new monthly low.
Snowfall has also been commonplace this April.
While on average, the Siberia, as a whole, is enduring a month an astonishing 4C below the multidecadal norm.
The MSM has been keen to focus on southeast Asia’s heat, but there hasn’t been a peep re. the mass of pinks and purples encasing much of the rest of the continent, polar cold that over the coming days will sink south into China and intensify.
Late-season snows and/or record-challenging lows are to be forecast for some 70% of China’s 9.6 million km² land mass, particularly the eastern half.
Updates coming early next week…
Sri Lanka Shivers
The southern Asian nation of Sri Lanka witnessed a cooler-than-average March of 2023.
According to the Sri Lanka Meteorological Service, last month saw a temperature anomaly of 0.07C below the multidecadal norm. The month was also drier than normal in the north and wetter in the south.
More Establishment Obfuscation
Establishment-finded CRED (Center for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters) recently released its 2022 Disasters in numbers report, which is “even more dishonest than its 2021 report,” according to retired Associate Professor of Physics Dr. Ralph Alexander.
According to CRED’s own emergency events database (EM-DAT), weather-related deaths are down 98% from where they were a century ago.
However, the center says that “misinterpreting statistics could be harmful if it supports a discourse minimizing the importance of climate change,” and so after a “more careful examination” of the statistics CRED believes this percentage may be misleading.
Figure A shows the raw data; that is, ‘total disaster-related deaths per decade (1900-2020)’:
But figure B tells a different story.
Revealed is CRED’s pitiful obfuscation, its attempts at truth bending to appease its AGW Party backers.
CRED states that “it is impossible to draw conclusions about the underlying causes of the century-long trend in disaster mortality based on EM-DAT numbers alone,” which, when translated from agenda-driving gobbledygook, reads “our own data disproved our theory so we changed our data”.
To achieve what the center is now calling a “positive trend” the 50 largest disaster events were inexplicably removed.
Dr. Alexander doesn’t hold back, saying that “such subterfuge is both dishonest and statistically flawed … the only way to present any trend honestly is to include all the data.” A fundamental tenet of the scientific method, he adds, hitting the nail on the head, is that you cannot ignore any piece of evidence that doesn’t fit your narrative, simply because it is inconvenient.
CRED’s annual disasters report is published with the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) — America’s largest foreign aid organisation. The center’s EM-DAT service is said to provide “objective evidence-based information” which can be used to assess the vulnerabilities of communities to disasters, “thus assisting policymakers in setting priorities”.
The 2022 Disasters in numbers report states that the annual death toll figure of 30,704 was three times higher than in 2021 but below the 2002-2021 average of 60,955, with the latter influenced by “a few mega-disasters, such as the 2010 Haiti earthquake”. For a more useful comparison, CRED continues, “the 2022 toll is almost twice the 2002-2021 median of 16,011 deaths.”
Off the bat, disaster-related deaths are predominately unrelated to the climate; secondly, picking the median–the number in the middle of all the data–is nothing but blatant cherry-picking; and thirdly, and as explained by Dr. Alexander, yearly death tolls are unrelated independent events in the language of statistics, “so assigning any statistical significance to the 30,704 deaths in 2022 being lower than the long-term average, or higher than the long-term median, is invalid. CRED’s attempt to fit its data to a narrative emphasizing ‘the importance of climate action’ falls flat”.
CRED’s Disasters in numbers is a doom-seeking fairy-tale, one whose authors have bent over backwards to forge statistical support for, when in actual fact “the data and trends of weather-related disasters are pointing in the opposite direction”, comments GWPF director Dr. Benny Peiser. All the parties involved “should be ashamed of what is appearing in their name. This publication is fatally flawed and should be withdrawn,” concludes Dr. Peiser.
14 Thoughts to ““Unprecedented” April Cold Sweeps Siberia; Sri Lanka Shivers; + More Establishment Obfuscation”
Temp is 35 degrees right now here in Minnesota. Lows below freezing forecast next 4 nights. Weirdly we have had 3 THUNDERSTORMS the last 5 weeks with frequent and prolonged lightning and thunder when temps were in the mid to low 30s. I have never seen this before. Sure sometimes you get thunder snow. But 3 actual real thunderstorms with tempos in the 30s? Very strange
Usually Golf season would have been going for 10 days now at least. Courses opened when we had a run of 4 days in the 80s a week or two ago. No one playing since then though. I mean we had 8 inches of snow AFTER the courses opened.
I visit this site daily. It appears the solar cycle is actually trending higher than expected. Please address this. I am anti-climate-cult but I am very much pro-truth.
Whether we are headed into a Maunder type solar minimum remains to be seen. But we must take note of all the non-massaged data in any case.
Thanks for keeping up such an excellent and informative site.
Let’s say that since cycle 19 we are heading towards a gradual decline. Having said that, it is true that cycle 25 is in its ascending phase and that it seems to be on its way to equaling cycle 24. We have to wait another 18 months to get an idea and take into account only the averages (monthly, yearly).
For my part, I prefer to compare even or odd cycles to avoid solar pole shifts (a complete cycle lasts 22 years in fact).
An excellent site that allows you to see the solar activity in real time as well as the historical series.
If the truth cannot be found, we can try to get closer to it.
Greetings from the Alps.
Salut Nord Sud.
I find myself in Higher Bugey and for weeks now we have had temperatures below the average. The feeling is of a very cold spring and seeds are hard to germinate…
Salut Bugey Libre
Same in southern Isère at an altitude of 800 m.
Even though the winter was not harsh, we felt bitter cold for 3 months.
It was a new experience after decades of mild winters.
It’s hard to capture the astonishment when government officials are still plunging this nation into deeeep debt and other perils while in the real world the temperature of earth has been dropping since 2016. Add to that we are at the beginning stages of a Grand Solar Minimum and we have had multiple stratospheric volcanic eruptions over the last couple years.
If you want to see the Psychosis ⬇️
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Reason & fact will not deter totalitarians from pursuing absolute control.
Still Cool in SW Florida this morning – 60 F
Fourth day in a row – February, early March temps
to have a series like this.
Here in Metcalfe County KY we are supposed to be at 35F Saturday nite. Need 45 + temps to plant maters and beans.
It is presently, 10:35 AM 72.8F and getting hotter. Oh we were supposed to get rain and storms all day long but now nuttin! And these people want to tell us they know what the temps’ll be 100 yrs from now…look at Ventusky.com temp at two metters for Antarctica…
shows -94°F at two meters and -122°F perceived temp…this makes Three years of super cold temps for Antarctica right Cap? I believe that is cold enuf for CO2 to become SNOW!!!
Anywho…be safe Ya’ll, plant as much as possible and be ready for whatever is to come!!!
The northerlies are consistent in autumn in Sydney when they shouldn’t be this time of year. There were two days this past week, and one on the 28th of next week. Lets see when they decide to stop with winter quickly approaching.
Far from normal for this time of year.
CRED utterly scandalous (and hilarious) basically saying these are the true figures but ignore these because this is what we want you to believe instead!
Likes of CRED, IPCC and BOMs around the world are part of a condescending, deceitful academic snobbery infecting the public psyche and treating everyone like idiots. Do they really expect people to go on on believing this BS?
Then again having feathered their own nest they have no option but continue to distort and manipulate. True reporting would render largely obsolete organisations such as these, along with threatening their fat cat research grants.
Direct hit solar flare from Mercury in retrograde, Kp8:
Two direct facing negative polarity coronal holes:
Hey Everyone & Cap. Thanks for all of the articles you have posted. As I have stated previously this winters temps here in Poso Flat in the Southern Sierra have been around 10 degrees below normal Fahrenheit this winter. This past week our oak trees have started sprouting leaves with the warmer temps. I am very much grateful for all the work Cap has done on providing the truth about our cold weather chaos taking place. It is very disheartening to find here is the only source about why we had 16 rain/storm events here this winter, the Hunga Tonga volcanic eruption. As a news junkie all of the tv weather & news people have been using the term atmospheric rivers to explain it. Which means nothing to me. They are so shallow about not explaining what is creating these events. Very disappointing to see this taking place. Ron
An afternoon thundershower
Humid with a thunderstorm
Humid with showers around
Humid with a t-storm or two
Windy with a t-storm or two
SW Florida Accuweather Prediction – Daily Showers above 80%
This is June 1st start of Hurricane Season weather!!!
BTW – Monday coming south from Tampa on I-75 a strong
Tropical Downpour caused pickup truck-trailer jackknife which
resulted in three lanes of traffic funneling into one lane bypassing
It took an extra hour to make the 20 miles of backup so I Pulled
into https://woodysriverroo.com/ to relieve the afternoon tension~!
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