Heavy Snow Pounds Eastern Europe, Much More To Come; Lackluster El Niño; Precipitation Data Refutes “Experts” Climate Crisis Claims; + CME
Heavy Snow Pounds Eastern Europe, Much More To Come
Following a three-day snowfall event, Russia’s Volga region has been buried under a foot of snow — abnormally high totals for November.
The November norm for the city of Ulyanovsk–for example–is 8 cm (3.15 inches) but, and with a week of the month left to run, 24 cm (9.45 inches) of snow has already been documented.
Likewise in Izhevsk, the capital of the Udmurtia Republic, snowdrifts are “a month ahead of the calendar,” reports gismeteo.ru.
Looking ahead, “prolonged and heavy snowfalls will not stop in the coming days,” so states hmn.ru, speaking to Izhevsk. “In connection with this, there is another transport collapse in the city.”
Shifting westward, Belarus has declared an “orange” level of danger with heavy snow forecast to crash over the Norwegian Sea.
On Nov 23, strong winds and snowstorms duly arrived across the majority of the country.
Icy road conditions have been reported in western regions, with heavy snow and blizzards hitting the likes of the capital city Minsk.
For the majority of Europe, winter looks set to begin early as an Arctic Outbreak threatens to grip the continent:
The incoming snow also looks set to continue ‘Europe’s best start to a ski season in memory’:
These accumulations will add to what is another above-average snow season for the Northern Hemisphere:
Which is continuing the trend:
Lackluster El Niño
Despite the caterwaulings from ‘team perpetual crisis’, the recent El Niño is proving lackluster, and there is the real possibility that the phase has already peaked.
The latest data show it’s behaving unusually, lacking a strong atmospheric presence in the circulation.
This gives weight to JMA forecasts calling for a collapsing El Niño in the new year–and a potential reentering of La Niña territory by the summer:
If a period of global cooling is indeed on the cards then we would expect La Niñas to be the dominate ENSO pattern.
El Niño is a warm phase of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO). This region of the equatorial Pacific Ocean shifts between warm and cold phases. We are currently in a warm phase (El Niño), following what was a rare ‘triple dip’ cold phase (La Niña).
You can see the ENSO regions across the tropical Pacific below. Regions 3 and 4 expand over the east and west tropical Pacific. The main region is seen in the image as the Nino 3.4 region. This is where the main strength of a warm/cold event is calculated.
Each ENSO phase has a different accompanying circulation and thus produces a different atmospheric response. This impacts the overall global circulation over time, changing the seasonal weather patterns across the world.
Below is the latest ocean anomaly analysis for November 2023:
Next is the ENSO region anomaly data for 2022-23:
The following image comes from NOAA Climate, and shows the typical circulation during an El Niño event.
Rising air over the central and eastern Pacific causes more storms and precipitation and lowers the pressure over the region. At the same time, descending in the western Pacific leads to stable weather and high-pressure conditions.
This is the direct way that ENSO impacts planetary weather; that is, via atmospheric pressure patterns: A rising atmospheric motion means lower pressure and more precipitation, a sinking motion means higher pressure and drier conditions.
Below is a look at the 2015 El Niño season, with blue representing rising air and brown depicting sinking air.
Note the expansive rising over the eastern and central Pacific and the comparatively large sinking in the west.
This is typical of a strong El Niño phase.
However, if we look at the same graphic depicting the latest forecast (for December 2023), we see this rising motion over the main ENSO regions is missing. This is unusual, and would suggest a weaker El Niño in the basic atmospheric circulation.
The AGW Party had pinned their hopes on a not only a strong but a “historically” strong El Niño event. What reality has so far delivered, however, is something of a dud, and latest modelling forecasts an uneventful tailing off.
Again, if a period of global cooling is indeed on the cards then we would expect La Niñas to be the dominate ENSO pattern.
Precipitation Data Refutes “Experts” Climate Crisis Claims
The alarmists’ narrative: Wet regions will get wetter, and dry will get drier. They argue burning fossil fuels is warming the planet and increasing evaporation: More water vapor causes more floods; more evaporation also dries the land causing more drought.
However, the scientific data paint an entirely different picture — as explains ecologist Jim Steele in a lengthy X post:
Kazemzadeh (2021), using satellite data, determined that 88% of the earth’s surface shows no trends in precipitation.
(So, no warming effect?)
Of the small remaining percentage of areas with significant trends, 50% show more rain while 50% experience less rain. That balance suggests rainfall trends are simply due to changes in circulation patterns that re-distribute where water-vapor rains out. This is especially true over the oceans, where 90% of all evaporated ocean water-vapor rains-out back to the ocean. The global hydrological cycle shows that changes in precipitation over land depends on when and where moisture rains-out. Additionally, lost wetlands and lost vegetation can reduce the recycling of water on land and cause a negative precipitation trend.
Despite landscape changes and in contrast to alarmists’ narratives, increasing rainfall trends are rare over the continents. Many droughts and floods are associated with El Niño/La Niña oscillations. Our past 2 decades experienced more La Nina-like conditions that have caused more drought in western United States, while simultaneously increasing monsoon rainfall and floods over Asia.
As a result, the largest positive rainfall trend (shown below in green) were observed in the highlands of Pakistan and northwest Indian region. Accordingly, alarmists opportunistically cherry picked the 2010 & 2022 Pakistan floods as proof of a climate crisis, and greedy governments demanded industrial nations pay for Pakistan’s flood damage by falsely attributing the floods to burning of fossil fuels.
Yet again, the data refute the alarmists’ attribution claims.
Scientists who actually study this region’s climate had concluded, “the 2010 Pakistan floods, although seemingly unprecedented, were well within natural variability of the monsoonal climate over the Indian subcontinent. … A rapid transition from El Niño to La Niña between spring and summer of 2010 appears to be the key element in triggering a vigorous monsoon of 2010.”
Furthermore, Pakistan’s flood and drought data since 1850 (below) clearly show how it is ENSO that causes alternating decades of floods and droughts, not global warming, explaining why three of Pakistan’s past seven droughts happened in the cooler 1800s.
But climate alarmists loathe to attribute any extreme events to such natural oscillations. So, in order to maintain their CO2 crisis narrative, they shamelessly invented a brand-new climate dynamic, claiming CO2 warming is now causing “climate whiplash”.
For more, watch Jim Steele’s video: Are Pakistan’s Floods You Fault And Should Americans Pay?
CME
Following a long lull, the sun has fired back into life with dozens of dark cores now peppering the Earth-facing solar disk.
Over the past 24-hours alone, multiple overlapping coronal mass ejections (CMEs) have escaped the sun:
Analysts will have to spend some time unraveling these clouds to determine their trajectories.
However, a NASA model is already suggesting that one may be headed for Earth:
A CME could hit our planet’s magnetic field during the late hours of Saturday, November 25. So watch out for that.
Electroverse
I have fought to keep access to Electroverse free for 6+ years now, with the site existing on advertising revenue and the generous donations of readers.
However, with the ramp-up in establishment censorship, via Google’s recent advertising ban and social media/search engine black-listings, I can no longer afford to run the site unless I successfully switch to a subscription model.
I cannot prepare my young family for an uncertain future on $2000 a month (my current pledge total on Patreon).
We are living off-grid in Portugal, which keeps costs down, growing our own food and harnessing our own energy, but properly preparing the land, etc. takes funds that I will have to seek elsewhere unless I can gain more subscribers on Patreon and/or Substack.
As of next Monday (November 27), all new electroverse.info articles will only be accessible to paid subscribers.
If you appreciate my efforts, please consider helping out.
This is the last avenue I have left to keep the site running.
Thank you for your support.
Keep posting up headlines on the social networks to hopefully draw more subscribers. In the meantime, I’ll be following you on Patreon and wish you success in your ventures.
Thank you Chris — will do.
Please keep posting some articles of topical interest that we can link to – facts and data that will help to awaken the indoctrinated masses. Now the intrusive videos have gone I’ve been citing more of your articles in BTL comments on news sites.
Big pattern change EU, no more cyclone S of Iceland and a major cyclone Black Sea Sunday forecast 81mph. Low pressure center between Odessa and Crimea pulling cold air down into Ukraine from Finland. Warm air up from Africa 106F down there is rising up through Syria into Russia. 80F in Syria, 70F in Russia on the Black Sea, freezing in Ukraine, Moldova and Romania on the Black Sea. Blizzards one side, fire storms in the Middle East other side.. Air strikes. surface to air. On like Donkey Kong. Turkey flipped. Egypt, Sauds all with Russia, China and Iran. Paki. Very diverse weather on the WW3 battlefield map. Hot in S Africa, 104F down there. Thunder in the Congo Mid Africa cloud tops 45k.
The pattern stabilizes end of next week , low pressure on both coasts and big high pressure N Central Siberia, -25F. Colder E Siberia air pulled into Pacific cyclones.
https://www.windy.com/-Show—add-more-layers/overlays?solarpower,2023112612,5.441,33.926,3,i:pressure,m:cPGagEK
The hurricane on the Black Sea forecast on Windy.com days ago is now there at the Black Sea with NW winds gusting 88mph off Romania, Moldova and SE Ukraine where it’s snowing heavy. The wind wraps around Crimea and switches to SW into Russia. Socci now 69F, SE wind 48mph.
The low pressure area goes N into Ukraine today pulling cold air down from the Arctic through Belarus etc from Finland south. N wind with snow.
https://www.windy.com/-Show—add-more-layers/overlays?pressure,50.036,35.771,6,i:pressure,m:e2rag7z
Zoom out on the Windy Pressure map, there’s 3 large Low pressure areas N Hemisphere. 3. One in Ukraine, another between NE Russia and Alaska in the N Pacific, and another E of Greenland way up North. The cold front from the E Greenland Low goes down to Texas. 28F in Lubbock. Snow into Oklahoma.
NW US is very dry for November the last two weeks during the normally rainiest time of year in the rainiest area of the US. We’re between the two big Lows in a High pressure area, nice sunny days, frosty 29F at night.
I have followed this site for more than 3 years, its analyzes have seemed very accurate to me. I have been a global warming denier for more than 20 years and that has earned me the label of conspiracy theorist. I am a small coffee grower in Colombia and I am starting to develop my self-sustainable integral farm project. I see with concern that many of the sites I follow are moving to a subscription model, for the same reason as internet censorship, at that rate it will be impossible to follow them all. It would be good, for those like me who live in countries with devalued currencies, there would be the option to give tips through this site: https://www.buymeacoffee.com, in this way income would increase, motivating others like me , that it is difficult for us to maintain subscriptions, to leave a tip from time to time.
Thank you for the contribution you have made over all these years, I believe that the message you send should reach many more people, and by restricting access you contribute to censorship. I wish you much success in your projects and that you can maintain these politically incorrect analyses, but I do not assure you that I can maintain a subscription.
I would be happy to donate a subscription for you, if you share with all your farmer friends in Columbia. My email is info@quelle-des-friedens.de if you give me your mail i will register you for a subscription. I totally agree with you, but also understand his limits, he needs funds to support his family. may blessings abound for you, debby lenz
Hello Debby, thank you very much for your kindness, it is a beautiful detail. Today when I entered Electroverse again I found this surprise. I know that sustaining a site like Electroverse without funding is not easy and Cap needs to support his family and keep his farm productive. I have tried to spread his message with my contacts, but many of them reject anything that is against the official discourse of AGW party. I will contact you so we can share experiences.
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Dallas
Don’t call yourself a Global Warming denier. This is used by alarmists to try and compare us with holocaust deniers. I class myself as a climate realist.
Alaska is covered with snow and most of Canada. Eurasia covered coast to coast Russia to Norway. Not bad for November. E Siberia now reading -58F on Windy.com, low pressure area W of Kamchatka pulling cold air down.
https://www.windy.com/-Show—add-more-layers/overlays?snowcover,2023120312,64.849,-96.152,3,m:frdac5L
https://www.windy.com/-Show—add-more-layers/overlays?temp,59.243,151.304,5,i:pressure,m:fqEajUX
What does Belarus have to do with Norwegian Sea?
The front traversed the Norwegian Sea, over Scandinavia, and then over the Baltic Sea — but I didn’t finish the story, I take your point.
US forest fires plunge to multi decade lows
https://www.zerohedge.com/weather/you-wont-hear-nyt-us-forest-fire-burn-acreage-plunges-multi-decade-lows
Thank you Cap, will try to donate to help soon. Those Rat bastages cannot be allowed ti win
WoW!!!
What a Post Cap!!! This one is Awesome!!!
Note: The Trend Line of the Fall Northern Hemisphere Snow Extent should be MUCH steeper. It should end where it ends but start at the 16 instead of the 18.4
Rutgers should be admonished for publishing such a blatant attempt to diffuse the obvious.
Dallas
Keep up the good work because there are getting holes in the woke money eco maffia machine. Look what is happening in Europe. The political thinking is changing all over the place. The billions of euro’s they are willing and forcing to spent to reduce co2 is dangerous.
There must be another way to convince these idiots of their North Korea dictatorship but how. Pls come up with something. Look at that dangerous fool Core.
We’ll never convince the hardcore (paint) tossers and globalists but politically Europe is shifting to the right, a right wing rather than centre-right party gained the most seats in the Dutch election last week. A lot of this shift is due to people’s concerns about very high levels of immigration, but most right wing parties aren’t at all keen on green taxes, mandates etc.
Keep up the good work because there are getting holes in the woke money eco maffia machine. Look what is happening in Europe. The political thinking is changing all over the place. The billions of euro’s they are willing and forcing to spent to reduce co2 is dangerous.
There must be another way to convince these idiots of their North Korea dictatorship but how. Pls come up with something. Look at that dangerous fool Core.
I have already sad this so what
Can you send a PayPal bill so I can pay?
Living and working in the poorest country of the #eu (Bulgaria) paid subscription is not an option for me.
All the best, and I hope some of the wealthy subscribers post highlihts on twitter (as long as that is free to use).
I’m gutted to lose people, but ‘big news’ will still be posted for free on the site.
Hi Cap, I just got menbership on patreon to helpyou out. please continue your very important work. Bernhard Kleinhenz
Good Bye ELectroverse, ..i am just going outside and i may be some time….
Please give us an idea as to what percentage or some amount you need to keep operational. That might help.
Hi Cap
Sorry I’m not able to increase my Patreon subscription, electroverse is brilliant but there’s other really good sites alerting people to the way TPTB are shafting us. A lot of these rely on donations and I can only support so many.
I again recommend a clearing account.
A bank account name and number posted on this site that I and some of us can use our own banks to pay money directly into which deletes the risk of fraud.
I will not hand over my bank details to a third party and risk a rogue operator clearing out my trading account.
Wikipedia operate in this way.
When paying my monthly accounts I could pay $50 or a $100 dollars at my own discretion and if funds are available.
The article on Clauser and the effects of clouds alone was worth a contribution.
Best wishes all and thank you for everybody’s insightful contributions.
Kind Regards.
Matt Holl Raglan. New Zealand.
Moffin, have you considered going lo-tech and using the postal services to mail a check?
Hi Jay. In New Zealand cheques are now banned but your idea is a good one. The obsolescence of cheques in NZ has been a couple of years now. New world order type stuff.
To do electronic transfer from my bank to an overseas bank account is no more than a ten percent fee and may be less.
Best wishes.
I just checked the international money transfer fees at my bank.
Electronic oversea bank fund transfer is $9.00 per transaction with a minimum transfer amount of NZ $100.00.
There is a likely fee from the intermediary bank and possibly the receiving bank.
The bigger the payment the smaller the fee percentage.
Best to pay the equivalent of a yearly subscription once a year.
The recipient account is only for receiving donations or subscriptions and is cleared daily or so to minimize chance of leakage.
Kann ich meine Unterstützung auch überweisen?
MfG
Ingrid Schmall
Since this may be the last time I’ll be seeing Electroverse, I would like to thank Cap for a very informative experience. This website has been my favorite source of info for the past few years. I wish I could afford to subscribe but the pension is barely enough to cover maintenance medicine.
The fight against AGW scam looks pretty uphill. I’ve been contributing to the cause by posting links to Electoverse articles whenever and wherever climate change is the topic of any discussion groups I’ve come across.
I guess tomorrow, the great scam will be scoring another point.
I hope you’ll be able to find another platform where you can share your work to us who can’t afford to subscribe and monetize it (maybe like in X or YouTube). In the meantime, I wish you all the luck and again, thank you very much.
I will be pretty disappointed starting Monday here. Do I have to pay to look at the articles?
Ulawun Volcano erupted last Monday to 50k the plume is headed to NW US seven inches 11/30 to 12/5 on the Oregon Coast 64mph Friday. 77mph off Vancouver Island BC Canada, eh? it’s a Hurricane from volcanos,
Tee Hurricane in the Black Sea today had help from Mt Etna erupting also Africa has active volcanos with influence you can see the heat plume on the GFS clip up there.
https://www.windy.com/-Show—add-more-layers/overlays?tcso2,2023112922,35.102,-171.563,4,i:pressure,m:eyMak42
https://www.windy.com/-Show—add-more-layers/overlays?clouds,2023112915,44.465,-164.180,3,i:pressure,m:eS2aCp
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4F1Q60ObSPQ
https://i0.wp.com/electroverse.info/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/gfs_T2ma_eu_fh-24-342.gif?ssl=1
Atlantic O SST getting warmer than ave off SW Africa it’s already warmer than ave off NW Africa and then all the way across to S America where it’s hot. One Giant heat pattern: Indian O, Africa, Atlantic O and S America then the heat heads West along the Equator which is El Nino heat and is headed for the heat from volcanos West Pac and Indo:
https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/data/cb/ssta/ssta.daily.current.png
https://coralreefwatch.noaa.gov/data/5km/v3.1/current/animation/gif/ssta_animation_30day_large.gif
https://www.windy.com/-Show—add-more-layers/overlays?sst,6.141,18.633,3,i:pressure,m:dHvahE5
https://www.windy.com/-Show—add-more-layers/overlays?temp,17.141,2.637,3,i:pressure,m:dt2aeZ0
It would be a shame to see the archives and more disappear.
Why not create some DVD’s and sell a one year set of your site content, and, or more?
One has to be rich to buy a very small farm here, a house with ten acres here is a million bucks. Here’s a random property for sale out in pastureland: 3bd w/5ac. $590k. https://www.johnlscott.com/search/listing/20462442
My little Bro is Union HVAC, makes $75 an hour. $12k a month no overtime. Guys building Seattle Light Rail or other big jobs getting overtime make $15+k a month. My friend makes $10k a month as a Residential Landscape Project Manager, no overhead, working for a company. Babysitter. My retirement is less than $2k a month, I’m in a different World. My truck is 32 years old, my little car is 22 years old. I had a 4 year old VW in high school working part time. Now a twenty year old car with high miles is $8k.Twenty year old truck $20k, insane inflation. Either rich or poor, cheap oil made the Middle Class. The cheap oil age is over. The UN is resetting everything to the post cheap oil age and controls everything everywhere. It’s not going to be optional, the cheap oil age was finite and that was that.
I appreciate your efforts, but I can’t consider helping, I can’t be a paid subscriber, I’m sorry.
But I would really like to read new or updated articles in the future, since the time on Robert Felix’s website (Iceagenow) I’ve been following this movement! Keep the flame!
Keep my email active to find out what the new website will be like when everything goes back to normal, as the AGW’s lies are what should be boycotted.
OK, so I paid my Patreon subscriber fee at the beginning of November and now I cannot access an article posted on November 27th.
There’s something wrong with this picture – I should at the very least have access to articles until the end of the month.
Besides, I think I’m in a higher than minimum tier, so I need to cancel the membership I have and sign up again?? The whole thing doesn’t make sense for people, who are paying monthly subscriptions already.
Email sent Jacqui — hopefully this has now been sorted.
Best,
Cap
why was my account deactivated?
Hi Howard,
According to my records you never had an account on Patreon/Substack — did you use a different email address?
Best,
Cap