Feet Of Spring Snow Hit New Zealand Snowfields; B.C. And Utah’s Early Taste Of Winter; Hunga Tonga’s Unprecedented Stratospheric Injection Of Water Vapor To Impact ‘Polar Vortex’; + Stronger-Than-Expected CME

Feet Of Spring Snow Hit New Zealand Snowfields

New Zealand’s Ohau Snowfields, nestled within the Mackenzie High Country, just received a monstrous dumping of spring snow, “a fresh shot of wintery life,” so reports snowbrains.com.

The mountain copped over one meter (3.3+ feet) of powder in just a 24-hour period over the weekend.

These latest falls add to the impressive totals received last week, when 50cm (1.64ft) clipped the likes of Mt Hutt:

B.C. And Utah’s Early Taste Of Winter

The first taste of winter clipped British Columbia’s Apex Mountain last week, delivering the area an early dusting of snow.

Some 15 cm (6 inches) settled on the mountain.

More snow is on the cards, as the western North America forecast stark anomalous cooling in the coming weeks, particularly as the calendar flips to October:

GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Oct 5 [tropicaltidbits.com]

“That’s kind of our precursor, that it’s on its way,” said Apex resort general manager James Shalman of last week’s snows.

Early taste of winter [Apex Mountain Resort]

Likewise in Utah, pre-fall snow is already piling up at Snowbasin Resort.

This is the resort’s first official snowfall of the season, and it is arriving a full month ahead of last year’s first recorded accumulations (of Oct 22) — and we all know how last season played out:

The AGW Party milked the Northern Hemisphere summertime for all it was worth. Well done them. But now winter is arriving–early for many–and the vast majority of indicators are pointing to it being an absolute doozy (see link below).

Cycles are the enemy of the catastrophists, even down to the cycles of the seasons.

Alarmists keenly lament summer heatwaves and wildfires, but then completely sidestep winter’s record-breaking cold and increasingly-large snowpacks. This is called cherry-picking.

Hunga Tonga’s Unprecedented Stratospheric Injection Of Water Vapor To Impact ‘Polar Vortex’

The change in water vapor distribution of the upper stratosphere following the eruption of Hunga Tonga–Hunga Haʻapai back on January 15, 2022 is quite remarkable.

Note (in the figure below, bottom-right) the spreading of the anomaly from the equator to the poles ever since the eruption; see the distribution of vapor in the middle-upper stratosphere — concentrations which are the highest ever observed:

Water vapor is by far the most ‘potent’ GHG.

Climatic aftereffects were a certainty, we just didn’t know the when/where/how-much.

Peter Kolb, PhD Forest Ecologist Adjunct Professor:

“[Tonga’s record-high eruption] blew something like a trillion tons of water into the upper atmosphere … increasing the water vapor in the Stratosphere by 10%. We talk about greenhouse gases increasing by one or two one-hundredths of a percent causing global climate change, and here we had a volcano that increased the water content of the stratosphere by 10%.”

First, cooling appeared:

Then, and still, warming has been displayed (no doubt temporary, though still quite stark):

But there’s more.

According to a recent paper published by Manney et al (July 2023), large effects on the Arctic ‘polar vortex’ are expected to manifest starting this fall and winter:

More on this to follow soon…


Stronger-Than-Expected CME

As predicted, a coronal mass ejection (CME) hit Earth’s magnetic field on Sept 24. However, the impact was much strong than expected, deflecting magnetometer needles in Canada by as much as 129 nT.

First contact of the CME produced a G2-class (Moderate) geomagnetic storm with intense red auroras over Scotland:

Mull of Galloway, Scotlandon Sept 25, 2023 [Chris Walker]

“These were some of the reddest aurora I’ve ever seen,” said photographer Chris Walker, of the Mull of Galloway.

There is a chance this storm could escalate to category G3 (Strong) on Sept 25.

High-latitude photographers (including those in northern-tier US states) should be alert for auroras tonight.

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