UK Met Office Issues ‘Amber’ Warning With Feet Of Snow And -18C (0.4F) Forecast; Historically Cold Utah; + South America’s Crop Reductions

Cap Allon

UK Met Office Issues ‘Amber’ Warning With Feet Of Snow And -18C (0.4F) Forecast

Following on from yesterday’s (revised down) -15.4C (4.3F), the UK went a little better this morning with -16C (3.2F) posted at Altnaharra Saws, Scotland — the coldest March temperature in the UK since 2010, and among the coldest on record.


Even colder temperatures are set to prevail as the week progresses, with the UK’s daily low for March 10 (the -15C/5F from 1931) all-but assured of being bested tomorrow. A low of -18C (-0.4F), maybe even -19C (-2.2F) could soon be reached — impossibilities under the original global warming hypotheses which called for an end to such extreme low temperatures.

The accompanying March snow is also set to intensify.

As a result, the Met Office has upped its warning from yellow to ‘amber’ across Wales and swathes of northern England Thursday through noon Friday, with some locales forecast to pick-up 2 feet.

Strong winds will also create “dangerous blizzard conditions”.

The Arctic Outbreak is expected to cause “significant disruption,” including dangerous road conditions, flight and train delays/cancellations and widespread power outages, states the amber warning. Rural communities could also “become cut off” by road closures and phone service could be disrupted.

I reported Tuesday that the UK was readying an emergency coal-fired power plant to cope with increased heating demand as green ideals and renewable pipe dreams continue to fail to live up to the sales pitch.

On Wednesday, as temperatures plunged across the country, that backup plant was called into action.

The National Grid said two coal units at an EDF-controlled plant had helped it meet peak evening demand. Low wind sapped the effectiveness of the nation’s wind turbines just as a cold spell hit, the National Grid said.


Historically Cold Utah

As America’s incredible snowfall steals the headlines, there’s another factor that has reached near historic proportions this winter, one that is silencing the deluded “warm snow” arm of the AGW Party — it’s been really cold.

The West’s snowpack is indeed worthy of the ink, with California, for example, on for its snowiest season in recorded history.

Researchers at the UC Berkeley Central Sierra Snow Lab have recorded 603 inches of snow since the 2022-2023 winter season commenced on Oct 1, making it the fifth-snowiest since the mountain facility was built in 1946. And there’s “plenty of the season left,” so says NWS meteorologist Mark Deutschendorf who isn’t ruling out the lab busting 1952’s all-time record of 812 inches.

Additional feet, perhaps as many as 12 are headed for Cali this week, and residents near Big Sur have been told to stock up on enough supplies to last them at least two weeks. Heed the warnings of other mountain communities, they’ve been told, who have been trapped for weeks by feet upon feet of snow with supplies dwindling.


Switching attention to nearby Utah, the snow has been historic here, too — but as touched on above, the Baltic COLD cannot be overlooked. The local National Weather Service office has shared numbers that show exactly how frigid it’s been.

During the period between November and February, Salt Lake City had the fifth lowest number of days above 50F in the city’s history dating back to the 1800s. Currently, 2023 has as only delivered two days above the 50F mark — zero in February.


It’s also been 121 days since Salt Lake City hit 60F.

Elsewhere, Logan has experienced just four days above 50F, tying for fourth fewest.

And anomalous cold has even gripped southern Utah, with Cedar City posting its third fewest days above 50F.


South America’s Crop Reductions

Soybeans

The USDA have cut Argentina’s soybean output by 8 million mt to 33 million mt, well-below the market’s projections, due to wild swings in February’s weather, between intense heat and intrusions of unseasonable cold.

Argentina is now projected to export 3.4 million mt, down from the previous 4.2 million mt, while imports were increased by 1 million mt on the month to 7.2 million mt.

Global soybean output dropped from February’s 383.01 million mt to 375.15 million mt, due to cuts in Argentina and Uruguay’s crop. Global ending stock estimates were pegged back at 100.01 million mt, down from the previous 102 million mt projection.

Brazilian output remained unchanged at 153 million mt while Brazil’s exports were slightly increased to 92.7 million mt, an all-time high and 700,00 mt increase from February. The country’s field work is 8.9% below last year’s 52.5% at this time of year.

Uruguay soybean production is also lowered 200,000 mt to 2.1 million mt.

Elsewhere, China’s output also dropped a little to 20.28 million mt.

While U.S. 2022/23 soybean ending stocks were pegged at 5.7 million mt, 408,000 mt lower than the previous projections. If realized, ending stocks would be the lowest in seven years, according to the USDA.


Corn

Brazil’s delayed soybean harvest has spilled into corn, too.

The nation’s key safrinha corn sowing reached 63.6% on March 6, a figure below the 74.8% posted during the same period in 2022. In MT, for example, the period for sowing has now ended with 8% still yet to be planted.

And finally, Brazil’s summer corn harvest reached a completion rate of 22.6% this week, meaning it too is behind the previous year’s rate of 26.1%.

South America’s crop reductions will strain global stocks, for sure; but make no mistake about it, it is the ongoing ‘controlled demolition’ of the West, the calculated ‘war of attrition’ that will upend global food security far more.

See the ‘red alerts’ posted by U.S. growers; the desperate plight of the Dutch Farmers.

Heed their warnings.

Grow your own.

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