Low Temperature Records Slain Across U.S., More To Come; Consistently Cold In Vancouver; + Colder-Than-Average October For Antarctica

Cold Records Slain Across U.S., More To Come

Adding to the host that fell over the weekend and Monday, hundreds more low temperature records were busted during the past 24-hours (10:00, Oct 31 – 09:00, Nov 1 UTC).

Daily as well as monthly low temperatures have been broken from Montana to Mississippi, with central states such as Kansas, Oklahoma, Missouri, Arkansas, Kentucky and Tennessee looking to have copped the worst of it (so far):

Chicago just endured a top-five coldest Halloween on record. While elsewhere, Dickinson, North Dakota posted a record-setting -2F (-19C); Lawton, Oklahoma broke a record, as did Carbondale, Illinois — to name just three (of the hundreds that fell).

“In terms of a late October/early-November Arctic blast, I’m astounded by the historical scale of the record lows — completely underestimated the intensity of the cold during El Niño,” posted meteorologist Ryan Maue on X.

“Certainly not consistent with all expectations on a warming/boiling planet.”

And there’s more to come.

Records will become even more numerous Wednesday and Thursday as the coldest air shifts east.

Hundreds of record lows are forecast Wednesday morning from Texas the western side of the Appalachians. Locations that could set record lows include Dallas (32F-or-so); Oklahoma City (mid-20s); Kansas City (around 20F); and Nashville, (upper 20s).

On Wednesday afternoon, more tens of cities are set for record-cold highs, from the Carolinas to Maine.

By Thursday morning, record lows should be widespread from the northern Gulf Coast through the Southeast and into the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. Temperatures in much of this zone will fall between the mid-20s and so below the freezing point.

A welcome reprieve is forecast for some into the weekend, but it will be short-lived for likes of the Northeast where colder-than-normal air will make a return by the middle of next week, according to latest GFS runs:

GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Nov 8 [tropicaltidbits.com].

As a result, natural-gas prices rallied sharply Tuesday with a boost in heating demand expected.

And along with the Northeast, forecaster Maxar Technologies informed the markets that temperatures have “skewed colder for the Midwest and South from Nov 5-9.” December Nymex natural gas (NGZ23) closed up +6.65%.

As for the snow, epic squalls were seen rotating through the Great Lakes a few hours ago, pounding the likes of Toledo:

I’ll have a comprehensive snow update to follow soon.

But below is a taster–and this is before the most-recent North American dumpings:

With this on the horizon as we eat into November:

GFS Total Snowfall (inches) Nov 1 – Nov 17 [tropicaltidbits.com].

Consistently Cold In Vancouver

The cold has been pervasive north of the border, too — and for quite some time.

Records for both cold and snow have been falling across Canada, particularly in Alberta, Saskatchewan and British Columbia.

October 31 brought with it the fifth sub-zero (C) reading of the of the month to Vancouver, which is the second-highest during a month of October since records began was back in 1943. For reference, record is 6 days achieved in 1949.

Colder-Than-Average October For Antarctica

Antarctica is cooling, the data are clear.

Continuing the trend, all of the Antarctic Plateau held well-below average during the month of October.

At the South Pole Station, last month averaged at -52.8C (-63F), which is -1.9C below the multidecadal norm.

This didn’t quite reach the coldest October of the 21st century, still held by the -54.3C (-65.7F) of 2021, set during Antarctica’s coldest ‘coreless winter’ (April-Sept) in recorded history,

October 2023 reading’s for Vostok are in, too. The monthly average there gave a reading of -57.7C (-71.2F), which is a full -1C below the multi-year reference which made for the coldest October since 2010’s -58.1C (-72.6F).

Antarctica has been posted anomalously cold –often record-breaking– readings for much of 2023.

Extreme cold (for summer) struck Antarctica this January with anomalous readings well-below -40C a regular feature.

On Jan 28, Vostok posted a staggering -47.5C (-53.5F)–the station’s lowest January temperature since the -48.5C (-55.3F) of Jan 30, 1989 (solar minimum of cycle 21). Then, on Jan 29, Vostok sank even lower, logging -48.7C (-55.7F) which took out 1989’s historical Jan low and made it the station’s coldest-ever summer temperature since its opening back in 1957.

The Italian-French Concordia Station further-confirmed the cooling: Jan 30 saw -48.5C (-55.3F) which matched the station’s lowest-ever January temperature (set the previous year). A clear trend is emerging. Here are Concorida’s all-time January lows, 4th to 1st: -48C on Jan 28, 2012; -48.3C on Jan 31, 2012; -48.5C on Jan 30, 2022; and now -48.5C on Jan 30, 2023.

In March, the Antarctic continent suffered its coldest ever reading so early into a year.

While in July, Antarctica went and logged Earth’s lowest temperature since 2017.

The month of August at Vostok came in at a very frigid -71.2C (-96.2F)–the coldest August since 2002 and also the coldest month since July 2016. All-time records were slain ACROSS the continent during the month, including:

The -61.1C (-78F) at the Vito AWS, located on the Ross Ice Shelf–breaking its previous all-time min of -60.6C (-77.1F) set Aug 22, 2008; the -59.9C (75.8F) at Willie Field, located at Ross Island Vicinity–besting the old benchmark of -56.9C (-70.4F) from Aug 7, 2001; and the -56.7C (70.1F) at Lorne, also sited on Ross Island–felling the -54.9C (-66.8F) set on July 17, 2010.

Elsewhere, -53.2C (-63.8F) was posted at Erin in West Antarctica–tying the all-time record from July 16, 2010.

The AGO-4 at Vostok dropped to -81C (-113.8F)–a reading not seen since 1994.

While Byrd, another automatic station in West Antarctica, posted -63.9C (-83F)–coming within just 0.5C of the all-time low there (the -64.4C (-83.9F) set back on July 18, 1985).

The following month, September saw -80.6C (-113.1F) rip through Vostok on the 9th, the station’s lowest Sept temp since 2012.

And now we have an anomalously-cold October at the bottom of the world.

The data unequivocally point to a cooling Antarctica, which has AGW Party ‘scientists’ scrambling for ‘acceptable’ answers.

The South Pole suffered its coldest-ever coreless winter in 2021, as mentioned, and has posted anomalously cold months ever since. November 2022’s average of -40.4C (-40.7F) made for coldest Nov since 1987, while December 2022’s -29.1C (-20.4F) was coldest Dec since 2006. In fact, Nov 2022 – Feb 2023 went down as second-coldest such period ever recorded.

And this cooling isn’t just confined to the past few years, either — it has been going on for decades.

A 2021 study concluded that East Antarctica and West Antarctica have cooled since 1979 at rates of 0.70C (1.3F) per decade and 0.42C (0.76F) per decade, respectively, with the comparatively thin strip that is the Antarctic Peninsula having warmed 0.18C (0.32F) per decade.

Antarctica is cooling, the data are clear.

But “Ice loss!” scream the propagandized masses upon the direction of a band of group-thinking pop-scientists.

And while this year’s sea ice is indeed low, this ‘blip’ requires far deeper digging than the catastrophists will ever want to admit–or are likely even capable of undertaking.

Take the wild swings in Antarctica’s sea ice in recent years:

Visible: fluctuations of annual Antarctic sea ice extent through the satellite record [NSIDC].

From a record-smashing high in 2014 to a new low in 2017, then back to the average in 2020, Antarctic sea ice is prone to extreme variability.

Take the continent’s Surface Mass Balance (SMB) from January of this year (shown below). Readings were far and above the 1981-2012 mean and rivaling all-time highs, which are now long-forgotten given this temporary bout of wind/ocean-driven losses.

Time series of the anomaly of cumulated Antarctic ice sheet (AIS) Surface Mass Balance (SMB) in GT (Gigatons). The gray shading area represents the 1981-2010 standard deviation around the 1981-2010 average.

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