Nobel Prize Winner Slams Climate Alarm; Forecasts Hint At Thanksgiving Arctic Blast; + Solar Activity Remains In The Gutter

Nobel Prize Winner Slams Climate Alarm

At a Deposit of Faith Coalition press conference held on November 14, 2023, Nobel laureate John Clauser discussed the significant methodological errors in climate change data collected by the UN’s IPCC (and more).

In a video of the talk, uploaded by the Church Militant YouTube channel, Dr Clauser starts: “As much as it may upset many people, my message is the planet is NOT in peril. … atmospheric CO2 and methane have negligible effect on the climate.”

The policies government have been implementing are total unnecessary and should be eliminated”.

Dr Clauser offers “an important part to this puzzle.”

From Clauser’s expert review of the science he has come to the conclusion that, “so far, have totally misidentified what is the dominant process in controlling the climate, and all of the various models are based on incomplete and incorrect physics.”

The dominant process, according to Dr Clauser, is what he calls “the cloud-sunlight-reflexivity thermostat mechanism” — as outlined in the below slide (lifted directly from his talk):

The key component of this mechanism is clouds, contends Clauser: “Clouds are everywhere, the world is covered with clouds.”

Deserts, foliage and oceans typically reflect some 20% of the incident energy, whereas clouds are around 90% reflective.

Moreover, “the variability of cloud cover is enormous.”

This is described in Clauser’s second slide, and is visualized in the subsequent satellite imagery:

From the sun’s point of views, “clouds are all bright white,” continues Clauser, and they reflected 90% of the sunlight back into space making them the most crucial yet most overlooked aspect of the climate system.

Another observation: “Two-thirds of the Earth are ocean. The Pacific Ocean alone is half the Earth. The average cloud cover for the Earth is 67%; about 50% over land and 75% over oceans.”

“I claim that the above conspicuous properties of clouds are the missing part of the puzzle!”

Curiously, none of the above simple observations on cloud variability are incorporated into any of the IPCC climate models, nor are they acknowledged in the agency’s 2013 AR5 or 2021 AR6 reports, not even in “Sect 7, Clouds and Aerosols”.

Dr Clauser concludes that cloud-cover reflectivity is our planet’s dominant climate forcing, not CO2 concentrations.

“I can very confidently assert, there is no climate emergency”.

But that’s not to say everything is rosy. We do face serious problems, contends Clauser, problems he outlines in his final slide:

For a watch of the full 3-hour Church Militant video, click here.

Forecasts Hint At Thanksgiving Arctic Blast

Following the ‘surprisingly potent‘ polar outbreak on Halloween, which felled hundreds of low temperature records and longstanding snowfall benchmarks alike, ‘Arctic Blast II’ is forecast to coincide with the next holiday, Thanksgiving.

Latest GFS runs foresee an expansive mass of Arctic air crashing down through Canada and engulfing the majority of the Lower 48 starting November 22, likely running into December:

GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Nov 21 – Nov 28 [].

Current models show stark anomalies across multiple states, namely Wyoming, Nebraska, Colorado, Kansas, New Mexico and Texas. Those light pinks indicate lows of as much as -28C below the seasonal norms.

Time will tell if the forecast delivers, but the GFS nailed the previous outbreak.

Meteorologist Ryan Maue wrote at the time: “In terms of a late October/early-November Arctic blast, I’m astounded by the historical scale of the record lows — completely underestimated the intensity of the cold during El Niño.”

The snow was historic then, too — which also threatens to repeat this time round:

GFS Total Snowfall (inches) Nov 16 – Dec 2 [].

Winter is setting-in early, America.

I trust you’re prepared.

Solar Activity Remains The Gutter

We’re still waiting on the ‘sunspot lull’ of the past few months to pass, even as we edge ever-closer to Solar Maximum.

While lulls are normal statistical fluctuations observed even during very strong solar cycles, this most recent one –which began back late-Sept– is taking longer than expected to bounce back:

This is extra curious given NOAA’s updated SWPC forecast, which suggests that solar maximum could be reached as early as January 2024, and so leads to the honest questioning: has Solar Cycle 25 already peaked?

Well, it is certainly possible — the sun’s struggle to ‘reignite’ itself these past few months warrants the asking, at least.

Furthermore, we do have many examples of solar cycles achieving their maxes early, such as cycles 15 and 18:

Solar Cycle 15
Solar Cycle 18

What we do know is that solar output has taken a tumble.

Time, of course, will tell if SC25 has peaked; but regardless, the max will arrive far earlier than originally thought, according to NOAA, and so my thoughts are already being drawn to the next cycle, 26.

As I’ve long contended, Solar Cycle 26 could be where the next ‘Grand Solar Minimum’ commences proper, where the chill of solar minimum drives struggle, strife and hardship across swaths of the planet as the cold sets in and the harvests fail — phenomena shown, by historical documentation and proxy data, to occur during every prolonged solar decline of the past.

For us to already find ourselves on the downward-slope of SC25, well, that, at least to me, is a potentially concerning prospect.


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